If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. Although, when we looked at Xiamen Hexing Packaging Printing (SZSE:002228), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Xiamen Hexing Packaging Printing, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.038 = CN¥168m ÷ (CN¥8.1b - CN¥3.7b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
Therefore, Xiamen Hexing Packaging Printing has an ROCE of 3.8%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Packaging industry average of 5.3%.
Check out our latest analysis for Xiamen Hexing Packaging Printing
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Xiamen Hexing Packaging Printing compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Xiamen Hexing Packaging Printing for free.
In terms of Xiamen Hexing Packaging Printing's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 14%, but since then they've fallen to 3.8%. Given the business is employing more capital while revenue has slipped, this is a bit concerning. This could mean that the business is losing its competitive advantage or market share, because while more money is being put into ventures, it's actually producing a lower return - "less bang for their buck" per se.
On a separate but related note, it's important to know that Xiamen Hexing Packaging Printing has a current liabilities to total assets ratio of 45%, which we'd consider pretty high. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.
From the above analysis, we find it rather worrisome that returns on capital and sales for Xiamen Hexing Packaging Printing have fallen, meanwhile the business is employing more capital than it was five years ago. Investors haven't taken kindly to these developments, since the stock has declined 24% from where it was five years ago. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
One more thing, we've spotted 1 warning sign facing Xiamen Hexing Packaging Printing that you might find interesting.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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