Jiangsu Alcha Aluminium Group (SZSE:002160) shareholders have lost 26% over 3 years, earnings decline likely the culprit

Simply Wall St · 10/15 22:53

Jiangsu Alcha Aluminium Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002160) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 19% in the last month. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last three years have been less than pleasing. In fact, the share price is down 26% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return.

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Jiangsu Alcha Aluminium Group isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

View our latest analysis for Jiangsu Alcha Aluminium Group

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During five years of share price growth, Jiangsu Alcha Aluminium Group moved from a loss to profitability. We would usually expect to see the share price rise as a result. So it's worth looking at other metrics to try to understand the share price move.

We note that, in three years, revenue has actually grown at a 6.1% annual rate, so that doesn't seem to be a reason to sell shares. This analysis is just perfunctory, but it might be worth researching Jiangsu Alcha Aluminium Group more closely, as sometimes stocks fall unfairly. This could present an opportunity.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:002160 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 15th 2024

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that Jiangsu Alcha Aluminium Group shareholders are down 9.3% for the year. Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 0.6%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 3%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Jiangsu Alcha Aluminium Group is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

But note: Jiangsu Alcha Aluminium Group may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.