What SynPower Co., Ltd.'s (TWSE:6658) 28% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Simply Wall St · 10/15 22:40

SynPower Co., Ltd. (TWSE:6658) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 28% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 83%.

Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about SynPower's P/S ratio of 2x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Electronic industry in Taiwan is also close to 1.8x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for SynPower

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TWSE:6658 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 15th 2024

What Does SynPower's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at SynPower over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on SynPower will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is SynPower's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, SynPower would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 5.0%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 6.8% in total. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 20% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it interesting that SynPower is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From SynPower's P/S?

SynPower's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of SynPower revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's hard to accept the current share price as fair value.

Having said that, be aware SynPower is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is a bit concerning.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).