We Think FESCO Group (SHSE:600861) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Simply Wall St · 10/15 22:15

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, FESCO Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600861) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for FESCO Group

How Much Debt Does FESCO Group Carry?

As you can see below, FESCO Group had CN¥500.0m of debt at June 2024, down from CN¥6.52b a year prior. However, it does have CN¥7.55b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥7.05b.

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SHSE:600861 Debt to Equity History October 15th 2024

A Look At FESCO Group's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that FESCO Group had liabilities of CN¥9.36b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥191.2m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥7.55b as well as receivables valued at CN¥7.37b due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥5.37b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This excess liquidity is a great indication that FESCO Group's balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. With this in mind one could posit that its balance sheet means the company is able to handle some adversity. Simply put, the fact that FESCO Group has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

It is just as well that FESCO Group's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 30% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine FESCO Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While FESCO Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last three years, FESCO Group created free cash flow amounting to 10% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case FESCO Group has CN¥7.05b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we are not troubled with FESCO Group's debt use. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with FESCO Group (at least 1 which is a bit unpleasant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.