Omesti Berhad's (KLSE:OMESTI) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 27%

Simply Wall St · 10/15 22:11

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Omesti Berhad (KLSE:OMESTI) share price has dived 27% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 68% share price decline.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Omesti Berhad's P/S ratio of 0.5x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Electronic industry in Malaysia is also close to 0.9x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

Check out our latest analysis for Omesti Berhad

ps-multiple-vs-industry
KLSE:OMESTI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 15th 2024

How Has Omesti Berhad Performed Recently?

For example, consider that Omesti Berhad's financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as revenue growth is non-existent. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this benign revenue growth rate might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Omesti Berhad's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Omesti Berhad?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Omesti Berhad's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. This isn't what shareholders were looking for as it means they've been left with a 50% decline in revenue over the last three years in total. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 42% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Omesti Berhad's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

Omesti Berhad's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

The fact that Omesti Berhad currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Omesti Berhad you should be aware of, and 2 of them are concerning.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.