TXC Corporation's (TWSE:3042) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

Simply Wall St · 10/15 22:00

There wouldn't be many who think TXC Corporation's (TWSE:3042) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19.1x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Taiwan is similar at about 21x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Recent times haven't been advantageous for TXC as its earnings have been rising slower than most other companies. It might be that many expect the uninspiring earnings performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/E from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

View our latest analysis for TXC

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TWSE:3042 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 15th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on TXC.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like TXC's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 3.0% gain to the company's bottom line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 21% overall drop in EPS. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 8.1% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 24%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that TXC is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Bottom Line On TXC's P/E

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that TXC currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for TXC that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on TXC, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.