NOVAREXLtd (KOSDAQ:194700) earnings and shareholder returns have been trending downwards for the last three years, but the stock surges 12% this past week

Simply Wall St · 10/15 21:58

NOVAREX Co.,Ltd. (KOSDAQ:194700) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 13% in the last month. But that cannot eclipse the less-than-impressive returns over the last three years. After all, the share price is down 46% in the last three years, significantly under-performing the market.

The recent uptick of 12% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.

View our latest analysis for NOVAREXLtd

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

NOVAREXLtd saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 8.6% per year, over the last three years. This reduction in EPS is slower than the 19% annual reduction in the share price. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past. The less favorable sentiment is reflected in its current P/E ratio of 8.84.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
KOSDAQ:A194700 Earnings Per Share Growth October 15th 2024

We know that NOVAREXLtd has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? Check if analysts think NOVAREXLtd will grow revenue in the future.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, NOVAREXLtd's TSR for the last 3 years was -43%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

NOVAREXLtd shareholders gained a total return of 2.6% during the year. But that was short of the market average. On the bright side, the longer term returns (running at about 4% a year, over half a decade) look better. It may well be that this is a business worth popping on the watching, given the continuing positive reception, over time, from the market. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with NOVAREXLtd , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

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Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on South Korean exchanges.