3 ASX Stocks Estimated To Be Undervalued By Up To 48.8% Offering Investment Opportunities

Simply Wall St · 10/15 19:08

The Australian stock market has remained flat over the past week but has experienced a notable 17% increase over the last year, with earnings projected to grow by 12% annually. In this context, identifying undervalued stocks can present compelling opportunities for investors seeking to capitalize on potential growth and value in a thriving market environment.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia

Name Current Price Fair Value (Est) Discount (Est)
Accent Group (ASX:AX1) A$2.44 A$4.81 49.3%
Mader Group (ASX:MAD) A$5.74 A$10.42 44.9%
MLG Oz (ASX:MLG) A$0.62 A$1.15 46.1%
Charter Hall Group (ASX:CHC) A$16.10 A$31.43 48.8%
Ingenia Communities Group (ASX:INA) A$5.00 A$9.40 46.8%
Millennium Services Group (ASX:MIL) A$1.145 A$2.24 48.9%
Little Green Pharma (ASX:LGP) A$0.092 A$0.17 45.7%
Ai-Media Technologies (ASX:AIM) A$0.78 A$1.42 44.9%
Superloop (ASX:SLC) A$1.83 A$3.31 44.7%
Mineral Resources (ASX:MIN) A$50.24 A$95.42 47.4%

Click here to see the full list of 45 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Let's take a closer look at a couple of our picks from the screened companies.

Charter Hall Group (ASX:CHC)

Overview: Charter Hall Group (ASX:CHC) is a prominent Australian fully integrated property investment and funds management company with a market cap of A$7.62 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is derived from three main segments: Funds Management at A$448.60 million, Property Investments at A$322.80 million, and Development Investments at A$73.30 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 48.8%

Charter Hall Group is trading significantly below its estimated fair value, with a current price of A$16.1 compared to a fair value estimate of A$31.43, suggesting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Despite recent financial setbacks, including a net loss of A$222.1 million for FY24 and decreased revenues, the company forecasts earnings growth and aims for 6% distribution growth in FY25. Its revenue is expected to grow at 8.5% annually, outpacing the broader Australian market's growth rate.

ASX:CHC Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024
ASX:CHC Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

Megaport (ASX:MP1)

Overview: Megaport Limited offers on-demand interconnection and internet exchange services to enterprises and service providers across regions including Australia, New Zealand, Hong Kong, Singapore, Japan, North America, Italy, and Europe with a market cap of A$1.19 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segments consist of A$31.88 million from Europe, A$52.58 million from Asia-Pacific, and A$110.81 million from North America.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 42.7%

Megaport is trading at A$7.71, significantly below its estimated fair value of A$13.47, indicating potential undervaluation based on cash flows. The company recently turned profitable with a net income of A$9.61 million for FY24 and expects earnings to grow 32.1% annually over the next three years, outpacing the Australian market's growth rate. Its strategic expansion into Italy enhances its global presence and could drive future revenue growth beyond the forecasted 13.4% per year increase.

ASX:MP1 Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024
ASX:MP1 Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

Westgold Resources (ASX:WGX)

Overview: Westgold Resources Limited is involved in the exploration, operation, development, mining, and treatment of gold and other assets mainly in Western Australia with a market cap of A$2.45 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segments consist of A$183.25 million from Bryah and A$533.23 million from Murchison.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 30.6%

Westgold Resources is trading at A$2.60, below its estimated fair value of A$3.75, suggesting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Earnings are projected to grow 26.1% annually over the next three years, surpassing the Australian market's growth rate. Recent executive changes and record gold production of 77,369 ounces in Q1 FY25 highlight operational advancements post-merger with Karora Resources, potentially bolstering future cash flow and financial performance.

ASX:WGX Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024
ASX:WGX Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

Next Steps

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.