When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may consider Safe Bulkers, Inc. (NYSE:SB) as a highly attractive investment with its 5.5x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Safe Bulkers has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for Safe Bulkers
Keen to find out how analysts think Safe Bulkers' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Safe Bulkers' to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 17%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 62% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 12% per year as estimated by the only analyst watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 10% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.
With this information, we find it odd that Safe Bulkers is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Safe Bulkers' analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Safe Bulkers you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.