We Think Fasadgruppen Group (STO:FG) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Simply Wall St · 10/15 04:28

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Fasadgruppen Group AB (publ) (STO:FG) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Fasadgruppen Group

What Is Fasadgruppen Group's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Fasadgruppen Group had kr1.64b in debt in June 2024; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of kr335.7m, its net debt is less, at about kr1.30b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
OM:FG Debt to Equity History October 15th 2024

A Look At Fasadgruppen Group's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Fasadgruppen Group had liabilities of kr1.23b due within 12 months and liabilities of kr1.89b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had kr335.7m in cash and kr1.10b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling kr1.68b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of kr2.21b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Fasadgruppen Group's debt is 3.2 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 3.6 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. More concerning, Fasadgruppen Group saw its EBIT drop by 8.2% in the last twelve months. If it keeps going like that paying off its debt will be like running on a treadmill -- a lot of effort for not much advancement. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Fasadgruppen Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Fasadgruppen Group recorded free cash flow worth 69% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Fasadgruppen Group's EBIT growth rate and interest cover definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Fasadgruppen Group is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Fasadgruppen Group you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.