When close to half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 14x, you may consider Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, Ltd. (TSE:9107) as an attractive investment with its 9.8x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha
Keen to find out how analysts think Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 67%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 18% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 4.0% each year over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 9.6% growth per year, that's a disappointing outcome.
In light of this, it's understandable that Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha (1 is potentially serious!) that we have uncovered.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.