Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603983) On An Uptrend But Financial Prospects Look Pretty Weak: Is The Stock Overpriced?

Simply Wall St · 10/14 23:25

Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology (SHSE:603983) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 41% over the last month. We, however wanted to have a closer look at its key financial indicators as the markets usually pay for long-term fundamentals, and in this case, they don't look very promising. Specifically, we decided to study Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

Check out our latest analysis for Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology is:

9.6% = CN¥323m ÷ CN¥3.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.10 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology's Earnings Growth And 9.6% ROE

At first glance, Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology's ROE doesn't look very promising. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 9.8%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. But Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology saw a five year net income decline of 21% over the past five years. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with. Therefore, the decline in earnings could also be the result of this.

However, when we compared Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 9.9% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603983 Past Earnings Growth October 14th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Has the market priced in the future outlook for 603983? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

Is Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology has a high three-year median payout ratio of 53% (that is, it is retaining 47% of its profits). This suggests that the company is paying most of its profits as dividends to its shareholders. This goes some way in explaining why its earnings have been shrinking. The business is only left with a small pool of capital to reinvest - A vicious cycle that doesn't benefit the company in the long-run. To know the 2 risks we have identified for Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology visit our risks dashboard for free.

In addition, Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology has been paying dividends over a period of four years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to drop to 32% over the next three years. Accordingly, the expected drop in the payout ratio explains the expected increase in the company's ROE to 13%, over the same period.

Conclusion

On the whole, Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology's performance is quite a big let-down. Because the company is not reinvesting much into the business, and given the low ROE, it's not surprising to see the lack or absence of growth in its earnings. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.