De Licacy Industrial (TWSE:1464) earnings and shareholder returns have been trending downwards for the last five years, but the stock pops 12% this past week

Simply Wall St · 10/14 22:28

While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the De Licacy Industrial Co., Ltd. (TWSE:1464) share price up 17% in a single quarter. But over the last half decade, the stock has not performed well. You would have done a lot better buying an index fund, since the stock has dropped 38% in that half decade.

The recent uptick of 12% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.

Check out our latest analysis for De Licacy Industrial

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Looking back five years, both De Licacy Industrial's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 15% per year. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 9% compound annual share price fall. The relatively muted share price reaction might be because the market expects the business to turn around.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
TWSE:1464 Earnings Per Share Growth October 14th 2024

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on De Licacy Industrial's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, De Licacy Industrial's TSR for the last 5 years was -28%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

De Licacy Industrial shareholders are up 21% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. But at least that's still a gain! Over five years the TSR has been a reduction of 5% per year, over five years. It could well be that the business is stabilizing. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - De Licacy Industrial has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Taiwanese exchanges.