Anhui Huaqi Environmental Protection & Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300929) Shares Climb 38% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Simply Wall St · 10/14 22:27

Anhui Huaqi Environmental Protection & Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300929) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 38% share price jump in the last month. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 16% over that time.

Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Commercial Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.6x, you may consider Anhui Huaqi Environmental Protection & Technology as a stock not worth researching with its 4.9x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

View our latest analysis for Anhui Huaqi Environmental Protection & Technology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300929 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 14th 2024

What Does Anhui Huaqi Environmental Protection & Technology's Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Anhui Huaqi Environmental Protection & Technology over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Anhui Huaqi Environmental Protection & Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

Anhui Huaqi Environmental Protection & Technology's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 31% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 57% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 29% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Anhui Huaqi Environmental Protection & Technology's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Shares in Anhui Huaqi Environmental Protection & Technology have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Anhui Huaqi Environmental Protection & Technology revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Anhui Huaqi Environmental Protection & Technology, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).