Lotus Health Group Company (SHSE:600186) Stock Rockets 35% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Simply Wall St · 10/14 22:04

Lotus Health Group Company (SHSE:600186) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 35% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 47% over that time.

Following the firm bounce in price, Lotus Health Group's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 40.2x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 31x and even P/E's below 18x are quite common. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Lotus Health Group as its earnings have been rising very briskly. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Lotus Health Group

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SHSE:600186 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 14th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Lotus Health Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Lotus Health Group's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Lotus Health Group would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 134%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 111% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 37% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it concerning that Lotus Health Group is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Lotus Health Group's P/E

The large bounce in Lotus Health Group's shares has lifted the company's P/E to a fairly high level. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Lotus Health Group currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Lotus Health Group with six simple checks.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Lotus Health Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.