Some Confidence Is Lacking In Royale Home Holdings Limited (HKG:1198) As Shares Slide 26%

Simply Wall St · 10/14 22:05

Royale Home Holdings Limited (HKG:1198) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 76% share price decline.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, given close to half the companies operating in Hong Kong's Consumer Durables industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.5x, you may still consider Royale Home Holdings as a stock to potentially avoid with its 1.4x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Royale Home Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1198 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 14th 2024

How Royale Home Holdings Has Been Performing

For instance, Royale Home Holdings' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Royale Home Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Royale Home Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Royale Home Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 56% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 59% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 12% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Royale Home Holdings is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Royale Home Holdings' P/S?

Royale Home Holdings' P/S remain high even after its stock plunged. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Royale Home Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Royale Home Holdings has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are potentially serious) we think you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.