LKQ Corporation's (NASDAQ:LKQ) Stock Has Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Strong: Is The Market Wrong?

Simply Wall St · 09/29 14:21

It is hard to get excited after looking at LKQ's (NASDAQ:LKQ) recent performance, when its stock has declined 2.9% over the past month. However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. In this article, we decided to focus on LKQ's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

Check out our latest analysis for LKQ

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for LKQ is:

12% = US$736m ÷ US$6.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.12 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of LKQ's Earnings Growth And 12% ROE

At first glance, LKQ seems to have a decent ROE. Further, the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 12%. This probably goes some way in explaining LKQ's moderate 13% growth over the past five years amongst other factors.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that LKQ's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 19% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

past-earnings-growth
NasdaqGS:LKQ Past Earnings Growth September 29th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is LKQ fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is LKQ Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

LKQ has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 25% (or a retention ratio of 75%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

Additionally, LKQ has paid dividends over a period of three years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 32% over the next three years. However, the company's ROE is not expected to change by much despite the higher expected payout ratio.

Summary

Overall, we are quite pleased with LKQ's performance. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a high rate of return, that has resulted in a respectable growth in its earnings. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.