These 4 Measures Indicate That ITV (LON:ITV) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Simply Wall St · 09/28 07:57

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, ITV plc (LON:ITV) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for ITV

How Much Debt Does ITV Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that ITV had debt of UK£758.0m at the end of June 2024, a reduction from UK£859.0m over a year. On the flip side, it has UK£354.0m in cash leading to net debt of about UK£404.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
LSE:ITV Debt to Equity History September 28th 2024

How Healthy Is ITV's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that ITV had liabilities of UK£1.36b due within a year, and liabilities of UK£1.02b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of UK£354.0m as well as receivables valued at UK£1.09b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by UK£933.0m.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since ITV has a market capitalization of UK£3.20b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

ITV has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.90. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 202 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. On the other hand, ITV's EBIT dived 10%, over the last year. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if ITV can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, ITV's free cash flow amounted to 38% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

On our analysis ITV's interest cover should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. For instance it seems like it has to struggle a bit to grow its EBIT. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about ITV's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for ITV (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.