Improved Revenues Required Before China Fortune Land Development Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600340) Stock's 32% Jump Looks Justified

Simply Wall St · 09/28 01:50

China Fortune Land Development Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600340) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 32% share price jump in the last month. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 38% over that time.

Although its price has surged higher, China Fortune Land Development may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x, considering almost half of all companies in the Real Estate industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 1.8x and even P/S higher than 4x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for China Fortune Land Development

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600340 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 28th 2024

What Does China Fortune Land Development's Recent Performance Look Like?

The revenue growth achieved at China Fortune Land Development over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this acceptable revenue performance to take a dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on China Fortune Land Development's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is China Fortune Land Development's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, China Fortune Land Development would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 11%. Still, lamentably revenue has fallen 63% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 11% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's understandable that China Fortune Land Development's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

The Key Takeaway

Despite China Fortune Land Development's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of China Fortune Land Development revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for China Fortune Land Development that you need to be mindful of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).