The three-year loss for Cangzhou Mingzhu PlasticLtd (SZSE:002108) shareholders likely driven by its shrinking earnings

Simply Wall St · 09/28 01:45

Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002108) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 10% in the last week. But that is small recompense for the exasperating returns over three years. Tragically, the share price declined 55% in that time. So the improvement may be a real relief to some. After all, could be that the fall was overdone.

While the last three years has been tough for Cangzhou Mingzhu PlasticLtd shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

See our latest analysis for Cangzhou Mingzhu PlasticLtd

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During the three years that the share price fell, Cangzhou Mingzhu PlasticLtd's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 27% each year. This change in EPS is reasonably close to the 23% average annual decrease in the share price. So it seems like sentiment towards the stock hasn't changed all that much over time. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
SZSE:002108 Earnings Per Share Growth September 28th 2024

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Cangzhou Mingzhu PlasticLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Cangzhou Mingzhu PlasticLtd, it has a TSR of -52% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market lost about 10% in the twelve months, Cangzhou Mingzhu PlasticLtd shareholders did even worse, losing 18% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 1.2% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Cangzhou Mingzhu PlasticLtd .

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.