If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Gansu Engineering Consulting Group (SZSE:000779) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Gansu Engineering Consulting Group:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.075 = CN¥295m ÷ (CN¥5.2b - CN¥1.3b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
Thus, Gansu Engineering Consulting Group has an ROCE of 7.5%. In absolute terms, that's a low return, but it's much better than the Professional Services industry average of 6.1%.
See our latest analysis for Gansu Engineering Consulting Group
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Gansu Engineering Consulting Group compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Gansu Engineering Consulting Group .
The trend of ROCE doesn't look fantastic because it's fallen from 15% five years ago, while the business's capital employed increased by 95%. That being said, Gansu Engineering Consulting Group raised some capital prior to their latest results being released, so that could partly explain the increase in capital employed. Gansu Engineering Consulting Group probably hasn't received a full year of earnings yet from the new funds it raised, so these figures should be taken with a grain of salt.
On a side note, Gansu Engineering Consulting Group has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 24% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
In summary, we're somewhat concerned by Gansu Engineering Consulting Group's diminishing returns on increasing amounts of capital. It should come as no surprise then that the stock has fallen 27% over the last five years, so it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. That being the case, unless the underlying trends revert to a more positive trajectory, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
Like most companies, Gansu Engineering Consulting Group does come with some risks, and we've found 3 warning signs that you should be aware of.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.