Subdued Growth No Barrier To Méliuz S.A. (BVMF:CASH3) With Shares Advancing 27%

Simply Wall St · 08/31 11:01

Méliuz S.A. (BVMF:CASH3) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 27% share price jump in the last month. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 8.7% isn't as impressive.

Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Méliuz's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.8x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Brazil's Interactive Media and Services industry is similar at about 1.7x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for Méliuz

ps-multiple-vs-industry
BOVESPA:CASH3 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 31st 2024

How Has Méliuz Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Méliuz has been relatively sluggish. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will turn around. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think Méliuz's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Méliuz's Revenue Growth Trending?

Méliuz's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 8.5%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 94% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 5.2% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 12% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Méliuz's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What Does Méliuz's P/S Mean For Investors?

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Méliuz's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our look at the analysts forecasts of Méliuz's revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Méliuz that you need to be mindful of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).