TWM

Despite U.S. Resilience, Recessionistas Still Expect Trouble

Despite u.s. Resilience, recessionistas still expect trouble. Ism survey data points to high recession risk. The weakness in new manufacturing orders for november – via ism survey data – points to a recession. The us was supposed to be in recession by now, but gdp surged in third quarter.

Beata Caranci: Inflation Outlook Improving, But Not Tamed Yet

Recent economic data has signaled “sticky” inflation may be showing signs of becoming “unstuck.” beata caranci, chief economist at td, says the battle against inflation may not be over yet. She says inflation is improving, but not tamed yet.

Weekly Report: what happened at TWM last week (1127-1201)?

What Do We Expect For Markets In 2024?

Invesco's 2024 investment outlook discusses the balancing act between controlling inflation and preventing economic deterioration. Kristina hooper and alessio de longis discuss what investors should expect for markets in 2024. Hooper says investors should anticipate a broadening of the market and consider adding cyclical risk to portfolios.

Recessionary Indicators Update - Soft Landing Or Worse?

Wall street economists predict a "soft landing" or no recession in 2024, despite recessionary indicators suggesting otherwise. Lance roberts says the yield curve inversion is a warning sign of a recession but not the start of the recession. The market's lead-up to a recession has shrunk markedly since 1980.

Weekly Report: what happened at TWM last week (1120-1124)?

Keeping An Eye On The Unemployment Rate As A Recession Signal

Economy continues to experience respectable growth with third quarter gdp growth of 4.9%. The unemployment rate of 3.9% has crossed above its 12-month moving average. The recession probabilities index remains at a negative level. The economy is not in a recession but is showing signs of slowing.

New Recession Warnings

Signs of weakness are now appearing in coincident economic indicators in the us. The rise in continuous claims for unemployment insurance is consistent with a recession starting in 2023. The decline in the year-over-year growth rate of industrial production is also a sign of weakness. A soft landing scenario is becoming more popular.