TWM

Winter (Rate Cuts) Is Coming

The 2024 deficit estimate has increased by $400 billion, a 27% rise from their estimate five months ago. The U.S. Deficit for 2024 is expected to be $2.0 trillion, 7% of our Gross Domestic Product. The CBO forecasts no recession for the next decade. The IMF has warned of runaway spending in the United States.

The Case Against Lone Recession Indicators Is Stronger Than Ever

U.S. Recession In Motion?

Weekly Report: what happened at TWM last week (0715-0719)?

Russell 2000 breaks above 2-1/2 year resistance level, topping Jan. 2022 highs

Russell 2000 breaks above 2-1/2 year resistance level, topping Jan. 2022 highs. The Small-Cap Russell 2000 Index has popped 8.9% since last week's close. The Russell 2000 has reached its highest trading level since the first week of January 2022. IShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) has padded its net assets since July 9.

Weekly Report: what happened at TWM last week (0708-0712)?

The Economic Cycle And The Commodity/Gold Ratio

Home Market Outlook Gold & Precious Metals The Economic Cycle And The Commodity/Gold Ratio. Steven Saville says it's not the case that the US economy has avoided a recession, but rather that the current cycle has been elongated. Saville uses the commodity/gold ratio to define booms and busts.

Is The U.S. Economy Flirting With Recession?