SRTY

2.8% Growth Vs. 28% Recession Risk: The New Economic Landscape In 2024

Gross domestic product last quarter increased by 2.8%, a hair above average long-term growth. The Federal Reserve may have pulled off a soft landing in their fight against inflation. The Wall Street Journal survey puts the risk of recession over the next 12 months at just 28%. Real GDP grew at 2.7% in Q2 2024.

Above The Noise: Countdown To A Rate Cut

Data indicates that we can expect to see the first Federal Reserve interest rate cut soon. The implied rate suggests that the first cut may be coming in September. Value and small-cap stocks have tended to outperform growth stocks in the past. The first rate cut is expected to come soon.

Strong U.S. GDP Rise For Q2 Derails Recession Forecasts... Again

Winter (Rate Cuts) Is Coming

The 2024 deficit estimate has increased by $400 billion, a 27% rise from their estimate five months ago. The U.S. Deficit for 2024 is expected to be $2.0 trillion, 7% of our Gross Domestic Product. The CBO forecasts no recession for the next decade. The IMF has warned of runaway spending in the United States.

The Case Against Lone Recession Indicators Is Stronger Than Ever

U.S. Recession In Motion?

Weekly Report: what happened at SRTY last week (0715-0719)?

Russell 2000 breaks above 2-1/2 year resistance level, topping Jan. 2022 highs

Russell 2000 breaks above 2-1/2 year resistance level, topping Jan. 2022 highs. The Small-Cap Russell 2000 Index has popped 8.9% since last week's close. The Russell 2000 has reached its highest trading level since the first week of January 2022. IShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) has padded its net assets since July 9.