IWR

Riding The Momentum - Looking Beyond The Tech Giants

Home Market Outlook Today's Market Riding The Momentum - Looking Beyond The Tech Giants. BlackRock Systematic's Systematic Equity Outlook explores macro and micro risks. The persistence of persistent market themes like AI has contributed to high equity index concentration and strong performance of the momentum factor. Inflation and rising geopolitical risks dominate the equity market narrative.

U.S. GDP Report Shows Stagflation Is Tightening Its Grip

U.S. GDP Report Shows Stagflation Is Tightening Its Grip. The soft landing narrative is dead as GDP growth falls below expectations and inflation rises. Traders are removing rate cuts from the outlook, leading to higher nominal Treasury rates and a stronger dollar. Rising rates and tightening financial conditions pose a significant risk to the equity market.

IWR, PH, PSX, TT: ETF Inflow Alert

Global ETF Market Facts: 3 Things To Know From Q1 2024

U.S.-listed exchange traded funds (ETFs) still represent a small fraction of overall U.S. Financial markets. As of Q1 2024, individual investor ETFs assets reached nearly $1.4 trillion and represent 13% of equity and 2.8% of fixed income assets. Assets in U.s.-listed ETFs have grown over the last five years.

Economic Growth, Labor Productivity And Investment

Labor productivity-output per hour worked-drives long-run economic growth. Bill Conerly says the U.S. Can't expect the economy to grow by working longer hours. He says productivity growth has slowed since the Great Recession. Conerley says businesses need to focus on improving productivity to boost growth.

Trials And Tribulations

Bank of America projects that the United States will have a debt of $34 trillion by year-end. Mark Grant says the U.S. Spent $429 billion on interest payments alone in the last year. America sold $22 trillion in debt last year while the Fed raised interest rates to combat inflation. He says the Fed needs to consider the collateral damage to our economy.

Equities Play A Waiting Game

Consumption continued to drive growth in the first quarter. The waiting game continues for the U.S. Federal Reserve and other major central banks to cut interest rates this year. 2024 is shaping up to be a “normal” expansionary year with healthy levels of economic growth and inflation.

Just A Correction, Or Is The Bull Market Over?