IWC

SPX 500: Further Weakness May Trigger A Medium-Term Global Risk-Off Event

The U.S. Small Cap Rally Has Been Fast And Furious. But Is It Here To Stay?

Q2 GDP Advance Estimate: Real GDP At 2.8%, Above Forecast

U.S. GDP Growth Beats Expectations, But Fails To Dent The Market's Faith In Rate Cuts

U.S. GDP Growth Beats Expectations, But Fails To Dent The Market's Faith In Rate Cuts. GDP grew an annualised 2.8% in second-quarter 2024. Core PCE deflator rose 2.9% annualised versus the 2.7% expectation.

Country Risk: My 2024 Data Update

Richard Drury updated his most recent update of country risk for July 2024. He looks at political structure, exposure to war/violence, corruption, and protections for property rights. He argues that a trade-off between democracy and autocracy is more risky for investors. He says a democratic country is more likely to be stable and predictable.

Yen's Surge Continues, While PBOC Surprises With Another Rate Cut, And U.S. 2-30 Year Yield Curve Ends Inversion

Yen's Surge Continues, While PBOC Surprises With Another Rate Cut, And U.S. 2-30 Year Yield Curve Ends Inversion. The powerful short-covering rally of the yen and unwinding of carry trades continues. For the second time this week, the PBOC has surprised by cutting interest rates. The US 2-10-year yield curve is the least inverted in two years.

Election 2024: Economics, Policy And Positioning For A Soft Landing

The U.S. Economy should be resilient in the second half of 2024 and into 2025. The S&P 500 enjoyed a solid start to the year. The main risk for investors ahead of the 2024 election would be to cash out, says Seema Shah. Trade is a clear bipartisan focus for the upcoming election.

Hoisington Investment Management Q2 2024 Review And Outlook