QQQE

2.8% Growth Vs. 28% Recession Risk: The New Economic Landscape In 2024

Gross domestic product last quarter increased by 2.8%, a hair above average long-term growth. The Federal Reserve may have pulled off a soft landing in their fight against inflation. The Wall Street Journal survey puts the risk of recession over the next 12 months at just 28%. Real GDP grew at 2.7% in Q2 2024.

Above The Noise: Countdown To A Rate Cut

Data indicates that we can expect to see the first Federal Reserve interest rate cut soon. The implied rate suggests that the first cut may be coming in September. Value and small-cap stocks have tended to outperform growth stocks in the past. The first rate cut is expected to come soon.

Strong U.S. GDP Rise For Q2 Derails Recession Forecasts... Again

This DB chart shows how the tech selloff is driving moves throughout the stock market

This DB chart shows how the tech selloff is driving moves throughout the stock market. A Deutsche Bank chart showed utility stocks (XLU) gaining ground and a Magnificent 7 gauge sinking. Seven of ten sectors in the S&P 500 have advanced since a slide in tech stocks kicked off.

Winter (Rate Cuts) Is Coming

The 2024 deficit estimate has increased by $400 billion, a 27% rise from their estimate five months ago. The U.S. Deficit for 2024 is expected to be $2.0 trillion, 7% of our Gross Domestic Product. The CBO forecasts no recession for the next decade. The IMF has warned of runaway spending in the United States.

The Case Against Lone Recession Indicators Is Stronger Than Ever

Nasdaq 100: Potential Bullish Reversal Looms Ahead Of Alphabet And Tesla Earnings Results

It Is Starting To Look Like An Intermediate-Term Sell-Off