FEX

Shifting Narratives: What The Highs And Lows Mean For Expectations

Market concentration rose to multi-decade highs as names like Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft continued to surge higher. The three largest names in the S&P 500 accounted for 40% of the total returns through the end of 2024. On the lower economy and inflation side of the debate, the Fed continues to work to lower inflation.

Winter (Rate Cuts) Is Coming

The 2024 deficit estimate has increased by $400 billion, a 27% rise from their estimate five months ago. The U.S. Deficit for 2024 is expected to be $2.0 trillion, 7% of our Gross Domestic Product. The CBO forecasts no recession for the next decade. The IMF has warned of runaway spending in the United States.

The Case Against Lone Recession Indicators Is Stronger Than Ever

U.S. Recession In Motion?

Weekly Report: what happened at FEX last week (0715-0719)?

Fresh Thinking On Active Investing In U.S. Large-Cap Stocks

Home Investing Strategy Portfolio Strategy Fresh Thinking On Active Investing In U.S. Large-Cap Stocks. Tony DeSpirito challenges conventional thinking that alpha-seeking investors should avoid large-cap stocks. The top stock by market cap in the S&P 500 is larger than the entire small-cap universe.

Beware The 'Relative Value' Trap

Capital has been rotating out of tech into small and mid-cap indices. Global fund flows have been concentrated in the most expensive US tech sector. The odds of a Fed easing cycle have risen as the US economy continues to weaken. The 'Relative Value' Trap is a trap investors are falling into.

Weekly Report: what happened at FEX last week (0708-0712)?