Weekly Market Pulse: Are Higher Interest Rates Good For The Economy?

Interest rates surged last week on the back of a hotter-than-expected inflation report. The rise in rates last week pushed the 10-year to its highest level since the peak at 5% in October of last year. Gold has been setting new highs, trading above $2400.

Weekly Report: what happened at NAIL last week (0408-0412)?

FAZ, NAIL and KRBN among weekly ETF movers

FAZ, NAIL and KRBN among weekly ETF movers. KEUA, GRN, WEED, EVAV, MSOX and KORU among weekly losers. KEUa, KRBN, KORu, KEVA and WEED are among the week's top 10 gainers.

New Home Prices Fall, Still Unaffordable For Most American Households

In February 2024, the median new home price sold in the United States fell to $400,500. Even at the lowest price recorded since June 2021, it still remains out of reach for the typical American household. The mortgage payment for a typical new home sold has consistently exceeded the 28% basic affordability threshold.

Weekly Report: what happened at NAIL last week (0401-0405)?

Median Household Income In February 2024

According to Motio Research, median household income dipped in February 2024. The firm's estimate of the typical U.S. Household's median income for February 2024 is $77,265. Motio's index for the typical American household falls below the pre-pandemic level of 112.9 recorded in February 2020.

Weekly Report: what happened at NAIL last week (0325-0329)?

U.S. Multifamily Housing: Distress Can Create Opportunity

The U.S. Multifamily housing sector faces challenges from both overdevelopment and capital market pressures. Solid macroeconomic fundamentals and sustained demand offer potential opportunities in the medium term for well-capitalized investors to exploit distress in the market. The sector accounts for less than 10% of the total commercial real estate distress.

U.S. New Home Market Shrinks Again In February 2024

The size of the U.S. New home market as measured by its market capitalization shrank for the fifth month in a row. The average price of a new home sold in February 2024 is expected to be $485,000. Sales of new homes unexpectedly fell in February. The median new house price is the lowest in more than two years.

Best Inverse/Leveraged ETF Areas of Last Week

Weekly Market Pulse: Rational Exuberance?

Home Market Outlook Today's Market Weekly Market Pulse: Rational Exuberance? Joseph Calhoun looks at Alan Greenspan's speech about central banking. The dollar was up a little more than 1% last week. The rally last week was broad based with 10 of 11 economic sectors higher. Calhoun says what is happening today is a form of excessive exuberance.

Weekly Report: what happened at NAIL last week (0318-0322)?

Dovish Decisions

U.S. Equity markets advanced this week while benchmark interest rates retreated after the Fed reiterated its rate cut path in 2024. Rebounding after two straight weeks of declines, the S&P 500 rallied 2.2% this week and extended its year-to-date gains to over 10%. Real estate equities posted mixed performance as a rebound from rate-sensitive names was offset by weakness from data center REITs.

MJ, NAIL and NVDL among weekly ETF movers

MJ, NAIL and NVDL among weekly ETF movers. Bitcoin, UVIX, MSOX, BITX, NVDX and BTFX among the week's losers. Moved by Alternative Harvest ETF (MJ), NAIL, NvdL and UVIX.

Amid Weak Demand For Existing Homes, Active Listings And Price Reductions Jump, Listing Prices Weaken

Seasonally adjusted annual rate of sales of existing single-family houses, condos, and co-ops rose 9.5% in February from January. Home sales remain at very low levels as the entire housing market has shrunk by 20% to 25%. New listings jumped by 11% year-over-year in February as active listings highest since before the pandemic. Listing prices are weakening as homeowners with 3% mortgages are neither buying nor selling.

Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares declares quarterly distribution of $0.1680

Homebuilder Sentiment Back To Expansion

National Association of Home Builders published its March reading on homebuilder sentiment. The headline index rose back above 50 and into expansionary territory. The index is only at the highest level since last July. Homebuilder sentiment is healthier in the Northeast and in the Midwest. The chart of the homebuilders remains in its long-term uptrend.

Weekly Report: what happened at NAIL last week (0311-0315)?

Insidious Inflation

U.S. Equity markets declined for a second straight week as benchmark interest surged to the cusp of three-month highs. The S&P 500 declined by 0.4% this week. Real estate equities- the most "Fed-sensitive" segment of the economy- were slammed. The REIT Index tumbled 2.9% on the week.

Beyond The Magnificent Seven: Looking For Opportunities In Value Stocks