It's been a pretty great week for Nippon Thompson Co., Ltd. (TSE:6480) shareholders, with its shares surging 16% to JP¥1,423 in the week since its latest interim results. Results overall were respectable, with statutory earnings of JP¥58.51 per share roughly in line with what the analyst had forecast. Revenues of JP¥21b came in 4.8% ahead of analyst predictions. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analyst is forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analyst has changed their mind on Nippon Thompson after the latest results.
Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Nippon Thompson's sole analyst is for revenues of JP¥83.9b in 2027. This would reflect a decent 14% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to soar 58% to JP¥161. Before this earnings report, the analyst had been forecasting revenues of JP¥80.1b and earnings per share (EPS) of JP¥142 in 2027. So it seems there's been a definite increase in optimism about Nippon Thompson's future following the latest results, with a nice gain to the earnings per share forecasts in particular.
View our latest analysis for Nippon Thompson
It will come as no surprise to learn that the analyst has increased their price target for Nippon Thompson 16% to JP¥2,580on the back of these upgrades.
Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's clear from the latest estimates that Nippon Thompson's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 30% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2027 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 0.1% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 6.7% annually. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analyst also expect Nippon Thompson to grow faster than the wider industry.
The most important thing here is that the analyst upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards Nippon Thompson following these results. Happily, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and are forecasting them to grow faster than the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analyst clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.
Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have analyst estimates for Nippon Thompson going out as far as 2029, and you can see them free on our platform here.
That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Nippon Thompson (at least 1 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
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