Ripple ETF funds flowed out, and the $750 forecast was punched in the face by reality

According to Woofun AI, Ripple (XRP) fluctuated sharply near the $1 key support level. Despite the market's bullish forward forecast of up to $750, the current core contradiction is the continued withdrawal of institutional funding and the fragility of price support. According to data on the 13th local time, Ripple's trading price remained around $1.04, a sharp drop from $1.37 on the 13th of the previous month. The coin previously hit a low of 99 cents in August, then rebounded to $1.57 in September, but has recovered almost all of its gains so far. Prices have dropped by about 25% in the past month. Institutional buying, which was originally expected to drive a reversal in the market, was not only absent, but instead showed an outflow trend, making maintaining the $1 mark the most urgent market task at the moment.

Weak funding is the core variable that suppresses prices. According to data compiled by Woofun AI, the US Ripple Spot ETF recorded a net outflow of approximately $18 million between the 9th and 10th. After peaking at $1.81 billion on the 29th, cumulative net inflows fell back to $1.79 billion on the 11th, reflecting a significant cooling in institutional investor demand. In response to the optimistic targets of $23, $100, or even $750 proposed by some analysts, the US financial media 24/7 Wall Street harshly refuted it based on circulation and market capitalization logic. The current circulation of Ripple is about 63.5 billion units. If the price hits $23, the market value will rise to about $1460 billion; if it reaches $100, the market value will be $635 billion; and when it reaches $750, the market value will reach 470,600 billion US dollars.

This figure far exceeds the current total size of the entire digital asset market, showing that such predictions lack a realistic basis. In contrast, the media believes that the $3.65 recorded in July 2025 is a relatively pragmatic medium- to long-term target. Even if this price is achieved, the market capitalization is only about 231.8 billion US dollars, which is comparable to the current market value of Ethereum (ETH), but this still means that the price needs to rise by about 250%, which places extremely high demands on capital inflows.

Advantages at the regulatory level have not been effectively transformed into market momentum, further exacerbating the weak pattern of the market. Although Ripple received final approval from the US Monetary Authority to establish the Ripple National Trust Bank in October, the price of Ripple did not clearly rebound as a result; instead, the downward trend continued. The analysis points out that for Ripple to truly integrate into the traditional financial system and stimulate substantial demand, it will take time to settle. From a technical perspective, the price is currently below the 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages, and the technical pattern is weak. Once the $1 support level falls, the price may once again test the August low of 99 cents; if selling pressure continues to increase, it may even fall to the 70 US dollar range. To achieve a trend reversal, we first need to rely on another inflow of ETF funds to push the price back to the $1.34 level where the 50-day moving average is located, and then break through the resistance level of $1.55 to $1.57 before we have the prerequisites for discussing a real reversal.

Until ETF buying power resumes, market sentiment will still be hampered by financial contraction. 24/7 Wall Street digital asset editor Sam Daodu pointed out that the $1.57 high created in September is still closer to the upper limit of the increase. Currently, the market is at a critical point in a long and short game, and it is difficult for prices without incremental capital support to break through intensive upward resistance. If fundamental improvements after regulations are implemented cannot be quickly translated into trading demand, Ripple may remain low for a longer period of time, and investors need to be wary of further downside risks brought about by the failure of support levels.