According to established practice, the Financial Stability Council will officially release a new round of the list of systemically important banks in the world in November. Recently, Fitch & Co., Ltd. was the first to release the 2026 forecast results. According to forecasts, the five Chinese banks will continue to be on the G-SiBS list, but internal ratings are significantly divided — China Construction Bank is expected to jump 30 points, surpassing Agricultural Bank; ICBC is risking the third group threshold with 331 points, only 1 point above the threshold; and the Bank of China has declined slightly. It is worth noting that the weight of the “scale” factor in the G-SIB score is weakening, and the correlation and complexity of banks in global financial networks is increasingly becoming the key to determining their systemic importance.

According to established practice, the Financial Stability Council will officially release a new round of the list of systemically important banks in the world in November. Recently, Fitch & Co., Ltd. was the first to release the 2026 forecast results. According to forecasts, the five Chinese banks will continue to be on the G-SiBS list, but internal ratings are significantly divided — China Construction Bank is expected to jump 30 points, surpassing Agricultural Bank; ICBC is risking the third group threshold with 331 points, only 1 point above the threshold; and the Bank of China has declined slightly. It is worth noting that the weight of the “scale” factor in the G-SIB score is weakening, and the correlation and complexity of banks in global financial networks is increasingly becoming the key to determining their systemic importance.