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Digital Realty Trust (DLR) Stock May Be 43% Undervalued Despite Raised Guidance

Simply Wall St · 2d ago

Digital Realty Trust has ridden a powerful three year run in the data center space, which puts the focus squarely on whether the current share price lines up with the cash the business is expected to generate. After that climb, and with fresh corporate moves in the background, the key issue is what the stock’s recent performance and newsflow really say about its underlying cash flows.

  • Digital Realty Trust has gained about 49.8% over the past three years, which places more emphasis on whether that share price performance is fully backed by the cash it can produce over time.
  • Record leasing activity, a sizeable future leasing backlog and additional capital committed to hyperscale projects can influence how quickly Digital Realty Trust converts demand for AI ready infrastructure into cash flows and what it may need to reinvest to support that pipeline.
  • If you'd rather focus on earnings, this one's for you. See why Digital Realty Trust's 74.6x P/E tells a different valuation story.

The issue now is whether Digital Realty Trust's current market price is justified by its intrinsic value estimate based on its cash flows.

If you want more ideas around this AI infrastructure and data center theme, a focused screener of 53 AI infrastructure stocks.

Is Digital Realty Trust Still Cheap on Cash Flow?

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model here uses Digital Realty Trust’s adjusted funds from operations to estimate what its future cash generation could be worth today. On this view, the business is treated less like a high story growth wager and more like a real estate platform that turns long leases and capital projects into a stream of owner cash.

Over the latest twelve months, Digital Realty Trust generated about $2.27b of free cash flow in $ terms, and the DCF framework assumes those cash flows keep growing rather than shrinking over the next decade. That path leans on rising adjusted free cash flow projections supported by its leasing backlog and development pipeline, while also recognizing that data center build outs require ongoing reinvestment to support AI focused demand. Because the Q3 2026 record leasing and raised guidance highlight how much future cash flow is already tied to signed contracts, the DCF outcome sits substantially above the current share price of $174.67. This points to a market valuation that lags what these projected cash flows support. Find out what Digital Realty Trust could be worth using our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) estimate.

The Digital Realty Trust Narrative: What Would Justify Today's Price?

Narratives pick up where that cash flow puzzle leaves off for Digital Realty Trust's stock. They spell out which combinations of future growth, profitability and earnings power would need to hold for the current valuation to look stretched or conservative, and each one treats fair value as a thesis about the business that can be tracked over time as fresh results and new data points come through on Simply Wall St's Community page.

One of the top community narratives on Digital Realty Trust: 22% undervalued

"The current valuation implies that the share price does not fully reflect the company’s record backlog, raised 2026 guidance and growing use of third party capital…"

Discover why this Narrative puts Digital Realty Trust at 22% undervalued.

One more piece of the Digital Realty Trust story deserves your attention

Before you lean too heavily on the cash flow picture for Digital Realty Trust, it is worth weighing the concerns our broader checks have flagged and seeing how they might affect your thesis. Take a closer look at 2 warning signs (1 major) before settling on a valuation.