U.S. stocks were mixed on Thursday, as the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 index futures diverged, following Wednesday’s higher close.
Iran’s Security Chief Mohsen Rezaee said on Wednesday that Tehran had inflicted a political defeat on President Donald Trump, portraying the Republicans’ losses in the midterm elections as another consequence of Washington’s war with Iran. Axios reported on Wednesday that the U.S. military is wrapping up preparations for a potential return to major combat operations in Iran, including deploying additional military assets to the region.
Qatar is attempting to secure Washington and Tehran’s backing for a draft agreement that could prevent renewed fighting and potentially restart direct negotiations in the coming days.
Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.87%, and the 2-year Treasury bond yielded 4.58%, at the last check. The CME Group’s FedWatch tool projections show markets pricing in a 79.4% likelihood of the Federal Reserve hiking interest rates after its December meeting.
| Index | Performance (+/-) |
|---|---|
| Dow Jones | 0.48% |
| S&P 500 | 0.02% |
| Nasdaq 100 | -0.63% |
| Russell 2000 | 0.34% |
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY), the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ) and the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust (NYSE:DIA), which track the S&P 500 index, Nasdaq 100 index and Dow Jones Industrial Average, respectively, were mixed in premarket trading on Thursday. The SPY was up 0.026% at $767.01, the QQQ declined 0.57% to $688.00, and the DIA rose 0.49% to $535.72.
U.S. stocks closed higher on Wednesday, with consumer discretionary, financials, and communication services leading and energy, industrials, and information technology lagging. The Dow gained over 1500 points.
| Index | Performance (+/-) | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Dow Jones | 3.03% | 53,356.12 |
| S&P 500 | 1.58% | 7,688.62 |
| Nasdaq Composite | 1.44% | 25,736.51 |
| Russell 2000 | 1.58% | 2,856.95 |
CNBC host Jim Cramer said Wednesday that the post-election rally may not last as investors await the Labor Department’s employment data. He said election-driven trading could reverse when the nonfarm payrolls report arrives Friday, adding, “We could see a repeal of so much of this move that I hesitate to guess where we go next.” Cramer also said, “The elections did not upend the business cycle,” and urged investors to “never confuse” short-term stock moves for broader economic reality.
Jeff Buchbinder, LPL Financial chief equity strategist, said markets should focus on earnings, economic growth and AI investment after the midterms, adding that the S&P 500 has gained an average of 15.1% in the 12 months following midterm elections since 1950, with positive returns in all 19 periods.
He said the setup this cycle was not one for as much market volatility as in history, noting the average pre-midterms drawdown in the S&P 500 has been 17% and “this year we’ve gotten 9%.” Buchbinder also said divided government takes major sweeping tax and spending policies off the table and may imply less Treasury supply pressure and tempered rate volatility.
Here’s what investors will be keeping an eye on Thursday.
Crude Oil WTI futures were trading higher in the early New York session by 0.57% to hover around $88.62 per barrel. Meanwhile, Brent futures were trading higher in the early New York session by 1.53% to hover around $96.07 per barrel.
Gold Spot US Dollar rose 1.50% to hover around $4,126.19 per ounce. The U.S. Dollar Index spot was 0.01% higher at the 101.4824 level.
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) was trading at $80,425 per coin lower by 2.48% lower over the last 24 hours.
Asian markets were mixed on Thursday, as Australia’s ASX 200, India’s Nifty 50, China’s CSI 300, and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng indices rose. South Korea’s Kospi and Japan’s Nikkei 225 indices fell. European markets were higher in early trading.
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