Willdan Group (WLDN) Closes Mantis Deal On A Narrative That The Stock Looks Undervalued

Simply Wall St · 2d ago

Willdan Group (WLDN) has closed its US$285 million cash purchase of Mantis Innovation, bringing building controls, energy efficiency, advisory, and facility management services under one roof for commercial and industrial clients.

Recent trading has been choppy for Willdan Group, with the share price falling 4.69% in the last session to US$73.65. The stock has still posted a 7.46% 90 day share price return and a 3 year total shareholder return of about 2.8x, which points to long term momentum even as short term sentiment adjusts around the Mantis deal and upcoming earnings.

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Willdan Group now trades at a sizable discount to both analyst targets and estimated fair value, right after committing US$285 million to Mantis. Is that a bargain or a warning that the market is pricing in real risks?

Most Popular Narrative: 46% Undervalued

On the most followed view of Willdan Group, a fair value of $137.50 sits well above the recent $73.65 close. This puts the focus squarely on whether the business can deliver the cash flows implied by that gap.

The build out of recurring commercial energy management and procurement contracts, including the Burton Energy Group operations and the pending Mantis Innovation acquisition, is adding multiyear revenue streams that can smooth cash flows and support more stable net margins and EPS over time.

See why 23 investors see Willdan Group as 46% undervalued.

Result: Fair Value of $137.50 (UNDERVALUED)

Still, the higher 15% to 20% tax rate, along with ongoing acquisition integration work, means the Willdan Group story could change quickly if execution slips.

Find out about the key risks to this Willdan Group narrative.

Next Steps

If the mixed tone of this Willdan Group story leaves you unsure, move quickly and evaluate the potential upside yourself by reviewing the 3 key rewards.

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