Toronto Condo or Apartment REIT? The 42% Discount Decides

Barchart · 2d ago

On July 9, unitholders of InterRent REIT (formerly IIP.UN on the TSX) were cashed out. Carriage Hill Properties Acquisition Corp., a vehicle backed by Ottawa's CLV Group and Singapore's GIC, closed its purchase of the trust at $13.55 CAD per unit in cash, in a deal worth roughly $4 billion CAD including debt for more than 13,000 apartments.

Private capital paid cash for the buildings. Three months later, public markets still price Canada's listed apartment REITs far below the appraised value of their suites, which leaves a U.S. investor eyeing Toronto rentals with a practical choice. Buy one condo, or buy the landlord at a discount?

A Toronto Condo Yields Less Than the Listing Suggests

The average condo apartment in the City of Toronto sold for $640,248 CAD in September, down 6.1% from a year earlier, according to TRREB's September Market Watch. Rents are firming. Average condo rent reached $2,545 CAD a month for a 681-square-foot unit in the second quarter, Urbanation reported, down 1.3% from a year earlier but up 2.5% from the first quarter.

That works out to a gross yield of about 4.8%, before maintenance fees, property tax, insurance, vacancy and mortgage interest. Net yield depends on investment property tax deductions. The Canada Revenue Agency's rental income guide allows deductions for mortgage interest, property taxes, insurance and management fees against rent, plus capital cost allowance (CCA) of 4% a year on most buildings. One limit applies: "You cannot use CCA to create or increase a rental loss."

U.S. buyers face two more rules. Canada's prohibition on residential purchases by non-Canadians covers condominium units and runs until Jan. 1, 2027, CIC News reported, and as of July Ottawa "has yet to announce a decision on the Act's future," law firm BLG wrote. Non-residents who already own have 25% withheld on gross rent unless an approved Form NR6 shifts withholding to net rental income, per CRA guide T4144.

A REIT unit is different. It is a listed security, so the purchase prohibition does not apply.

Two Canadian Landlords Trading Below Their Buildings

CAPREIT (CAR-UN.TO): Toronto Suites at 58 Cents on the Dollar

Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CAR-UN.TO), quoted over the counter in the U.S. as CDPYF, draws 40% of its portfolio value from Toronto, according to its second-quarter investor presentation. Diluted net asset value (NAV) was $54.38 CAD per unit at June 30. At $31.41 CAD, the units trade at about 58% of it.

The multiples agree. CAR-UN.TO trades at 0.58 times book, 12.3 times trailing funds from operations (FFO), 8.66 times operating cash flow and 4.86 times sales, with a 4.94% distribution yield, per CAPREIT valuation data. Return on equity is -1.09% because non-cash fair-value losses run through net income.

Operations are steadier. In its second-quarter results, diluted FFO per unit slipped 1.1% to $0.654 CAD, same-property Canadian occupancy held at 97.5% and the FFO payout ratio was 59.2%. Management keeps buying the discount: $71 million CAD this year for 2.0 million units at roughly $36 CAD, and $1.0 billion CAD since 2022 at an average of $43 CAD.

Boardwalk (BEI-UN.TO): Buybacks Above Today's Price

Boardwalk Real Estate Investment Trust (BEI-UN.TO), quoted in the U.S. as BOWFF, reiterated 2026 guidance of $4.60 CAD to $4.80 CAD in FFO per unit and same-property NOI growth of 1.0% to 3.5% in its July 28 release. At $61.07 CAD, the units trade at about 13 times the midpoint. NAV is $96.37 CAD per unit, which puts the price near 63% of it.

Second-quarter FFO rose 2.6% to $1.19 CAD per unit. Through July 24, Boardwalk repurchased 3.1 million units at a weighted average of $65.51 CAD, above the current price, and the units trade at 0.60 times book with a 2.95% yield, per Boardwalk valuation data.

Mid-America (MAA): The U.S. Yardstick

Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. (MAA) narrowed 2026 Core FFO guidance to $8.41 USD to $8.65 USD per share in its second-quarter earnings release filed with the SEC on July 29. At $117.63 USD, that is 13.8 times the midpoint. MAA yields 5.19% and trades at 2.49 times book, per MAA valuation data.

Don't read too much into that book multiple. Canadian REITs carry properties at IFRS fair value, so CAPREIT's 0.58 works as a price-to-appraisal ratio, while U.S. REITs carry their buildings at depreciated historical cost. On earnings, the three sit within 1.5 turns of each other. On asset value, the Canadians trade 37% to 42% below their own NAV.

REIT Ticker Price P/FFO P/B P/S ROE Yield
CAPREIT CAR-UN.TO $31.41 CAD 12.3 0.58 4.86 -1.09% 4.94%
Boardwalk BEI-UN.TO $61.07 CAD 13.0* 0.60 4.40 -0.67% 2.95%
Mid-America MAA $117.63 USD 13.8* 2.49 6.35 7.05% 5.19%

*Midpoint of 2026 guidance. Prices and ratios as of Oct. 6, 2026.

Where the Discount Could Be Deserved

CAPREIT's own turnover data makes the bear case. Suites whose residents had stayed less than two years re-leased 7.1% lower in the second quarter, and blended turnover rents fell 1.2%, the presentation shows. Debt equals 41.2% of gross book value. Refinancing will cost more, since the 3.4% weighted average Canadian mortgage rate sits below the 3.9% to 4.2% management estimates for new five- and 10-year money.

MAA guides same-store NOI to -1.70% to 0.10% for 2026, and its effective new-lease rates fell 5.3% in the second quarter, so the U.S. benchmark is still waiting on its own recovery. Currency is another risk. U.S. holders of the Canadian names collect distributions in Canadian dollars.

Direct owners carry concentration risk. One vacant month erases about 8% of a condo's gross annual rent, with no second suite to offset it.

The Next Three Reports Will Test the Floor

Shaun Hildebrand, president of Urbanation, sees a turn-around in rents. "Rents have likely found their floor, with strong upside in the years ahead as condo completions continue dropping and population growth rebounds," he said in the Q2 report. Supply backs him up: condo units under construction in the Greater Toronto and Hamilton Area fell 39% in a year, to 38,252.

MAA is expected to report around Oct. 28, Boardwalk around Nov. 3 and CAPREIT around Nov. 6; the Barchart earnings calendar will confirm the dates. Watch three numbers: CAPREIT's turnover rent spread, Boardwalk's $4.60 CAD to $4.80 CAD range and MAA's new-lease pricing. Ottawa has a deadline too. The purchase prohibition expires Jan. 1 unless it is extended or replaced.

For a U.S. investor who wants Toronto rental income, CAPREIT pays a 4.94% distribution funded after operating and interest costs, while the average condo grosses about 4.8% before them. CLV and GIC paid cash to own apartments outright. Public markets offer CAPREIT's suites at 58 cents on the NAV dollar, and the November reports will show whether the rent floor Hildebrand describes has reached its turnover numbers.

On the date of publication, the author had no positions in any of the securities mentioned. This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

This article contains syndicated content. We have not reviewed, approved, or endorsed the content, and may receive compensation for placement of the content on this site. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.