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Is Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) Expensive Following Its Nasdaq Texas ETF Listing?

Simply Wall St · 3d ago

Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) just put its exchange traded funds on Nasdaq Texas alongside existing listings, becoming the first ETF issuer on that venue and spotlighting its San Antonio roots and ETF platform.

Recent trading reflects that story. The share price is now at $108.91, with strong momentum shown by a 90 day share price return of 8.4% and a year to date share price gain of 69.91%. Long term investors have seen a 3 year total shareholder return above 3x that, indicating enthusiasm for Victory Capital Holdings as these growth and ETF moves land with the market.

Scan how other asset managers are priced for growth momentum by running this news alongside our curated 21 high quality undiscovered gems with similar fundamentals and under the radar potential.

Bulls point to Victory Capital Holdings' strong recent returns and ETF expansion, while bears question how much optimism is already in the price. The numbers now decide which side has more support.

Most Popular Narrative: 9% Undervalued

Against the latest close at $108.91, the most followed narrative pegs fair value for Victory Capital Holdings at about $120.17, using an 8.18% discount rate and a detailed build of future earnings power.

Victory Capital Holdings is pursuing the acquisition of First Eagle Investments for about US$7b. This transaction is expected to add roughly US$3.2b in annual revenue and expand the combined asset base to around US$571b. This would create scope for a larger earnings pool once integrated and contribute to future EPS.

See why 50 investors see Victory Capital Holdings as 9% undervalued.

Result: Fair Value of $120.17 (UNDERVALUED)

Still, the story can change quickly if Victory Capital Holdings struggles to hit the planned US$280m cost synergies or if higher leverage reduces flexibility.

Find out about the key risks to this Victory Capital Holdings narrative.

Another View On Victory Capital Holdings' Valuation

The fair value story for Victory Capital Holdings shifts when the focus moves from earnings power to future cash flows. On Simply Wall St's DCF model, the stock at $108.91 screens as expensive versus an estimated future cash flow value of $82.83, which raises a clear question: Is the market paying up for earnings that may be hard to turn into cash?

Our DCF model is fully visible in the detailed valuation workup, so you can see every input and stress test your own scenario against it by reviewing the Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.

VCTR Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2026
VCTR Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2026

Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Victory Capital Holdings for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 29 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.

Next Steps

Many investors are currently optimistic about Victory Capital Holdings, so while sentiment is strong, review the numbers yourself and then weigh the 3 key rewards.

Looking for more investment ideas beyond Victory Capital Holdings?

Do not stop with Victory Capital Holdings when there are other opportunities worth lining up next to it using a focused screener built for stock picking.