Why Is Novo Nordisk Suing Eli Lilly, and What Does it Mean for Investors?

The Motley Fool · 1d ago

Key Points

  • Eli Lilly's ads don't account for a new, higher dose of Novo Nordisk's Wegovy.

  • Lilly has been winning the race to dominate the GLP-1 drug market.

GLP-1 drugs for weight loss are such a booming business that it was inevitable the major manufacturers of these wonder drugs would eventually end up in court.

This week, GLP-1 heavyweight Novo Nordisk (NYSE: NVO) sued the leading GLP-1 drugmaker, Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY), claiming its television ads are deceptive because they state that Lilly's Zepbound is more effective for weight loss than Novo's Wegovy.

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One such ad by Eli Lilly claims that "in a study," people using Zepbound lost an average of 50 pounds, while those using Wegovy lost an average of 33 pounds.

A weight-loss drug pack next to a barbell.

Image source: Getty Images.

But that study is outdated, Novo Nordisk claims. A higher dose of Wegovy was approved in March and launched in April, according to the Danish drugmaker, and a more recent study shows that the new dose increased average weight loss to 47 pounds.

Novo Nordisk claims that Lilly's advertisements also make misleading comparisons in ads for its diabetes drug Mounjaro versus Novo Nordisk's drug Ozempic.

Novo Nordisk's lawsuit seeks a permanent injunction forcing Eli Lilly to pull the ads, as well as a corrective ad campaign. It's also been reported that Novo Nordisk will seek to recover profits it lost due to the advertising, though the amount is unspecified.

The damages to Lilly, if awarded, probably won't be huge

Considering that the ads Eli Lilly ran comparing the two drugs only became outdated in April, when Novo Nordisk brought its higher-dose Wegovy to market, any damages to Eli Lilly, if awarded, would probably be immaterial. However, if the New Jersey court where the suit is filed forces Eli Lilly to halt the ads, that could be a big win for Novo Nordisk.

Investors have clearly been favoring Lilly in the battle for GLP-1 market share. Shares of Eli Lilly are up about 50% over the past 52 weeks, while Novo Nordisk's share price has plummeted about 27%.

Tirzepatide, the GLP-1 drug behind both Mounjaro and Zepbound, became the world's best-selling drug in the third quarter of 2025, surpassing Keytruda, a blockbuster immunotherapy drug from pharmaceutical giant Merck.

But demand for GLP-1 drugs is enormous and growing rapidly. The global market for obesity medicines reached $66 billion in 2025. Bloomberg predicts it will hit $120 billion by 2030. While Lilly has the larger share of that market, about 60% of the U.S. market as of February of this year, there will probably be plenty of opportunities for both companies to ratchet up global sales.

Matthew Benjamin has positions in Novo Nordisk. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Eli Lilly, Merck, and Novo Nordisk. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.