Dividends By The Numbers In April 2024

April 2024 proved to be yet another mixed month, on net, for the dividend-paying stocks of the U.S. Stock market. The number of extra dividends announced presaged a multi-year decline for the stocks in April 2014. Favorable dividend changes outnumbered unfavorable changes by a margin of 27% year-over-year. The most disappointing aspect of April 2024 is that industrial firms were not in favorables.

The Stock Market Is Vulnerable, But On Solid Footing

Home Market Outlook Today's Market The Stock Market Is Vulnerable, But On Solid Footing. The outlook for earnings growth remains fairly positive, but much of this is already in the price. This leaves the stock market vulnerable to the downside in a stagflation-like environment.

Evolving Fed Expectations And Asset-Allocation Implications

Franklin Templeton: The current macro backdrop is slightly atypical for an impending Fed easing cycle. Growth and labor markets remain strong, inflation levels are elevated. The implications for multi-asset investors remain positive for equities. We believe reflationary macro conditions and a peak in the fed funds rate are supportive for risk-taking.

'Sell in May and go away': Does it apply in 2024?

'Sell in May and go away': Does it apply in 2024? The adage posits that stocks tend to underperform in the six months from May to October. The S&P 500 has had positive returns in 75% of summer periods. But bears have been pointing to the outsized market gains since late October.

Solar Stocks, Berkshire, And The Latest Costco Craze

Home Earnings Analysis Solar Stocks, Berkshire, And The Latest Costco Craze. First Solar Earnings and Shareholder Meeting on Tap. The solar industry is now among the most susceptible areas to higher borrowing costs. Costco's same-store sales figures come out this week.

U.S. Recession Warning Via States Economies Was A False Alarm

Recession Probability Falls After Hitting Double-Top

The probability the U.S. Economy will see a recession begin sometime in the next 12 months has started to fall after hitting a double-top. Recession Probability peaked at 81% in July 2023. The expected timing of rate cuts by the Fed has been slipping later and later during the past six weeks.

A Good Start To 2024

Many financial markets hit record highs in the first quarter of 2024. The S&P 500 Index of stocks of large US companies hit a record high late in January. The annual rate of inflation has slowed since its 2022 peak but is still above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.

Weekly Report: what happened at SPDN last week (0422-0426)?

SPY: The Setup Looks Extremely Bearish

SPY has been on a strong run recently, but the outlook is very bearish right now. The S&P 500 is overvalued based on several valuation models. A weakening macroeconomic outlook also poses a severe headwind for SPY. SPY is facing a challenging economic environment and outlook.

Weekly Report: what happened at SPDN last week (0415-0419)?

Iran Attacks Israel - How Could Markets Be Impacted?

Weekly Report: what happened at SPDN last week (0408-0412)?

Sideways, With A Splash Of Uncertainty

The S&P 500 established its last record high on the last Thursday in March, right before the long Easter weekend. The market has bounced around in a mostly directionless manner since then. The Q1 earnings season is officially underway as of Friday. The recent decline in stock prices has taken a relatively short-lived effect.

Inverse ETFs to Play Now on Middle East Tension & Rising Rates?

Q1 2024 Earnings Preview: Will Reports Be Good Enough To Turn Markets Positive

Q1 earnings season kicks off with Q1 2024 S&P 500 EPS growth expected to come in at 3.2%. The second quarter got off to a rocky start as major indices closed lower last week. Buybacks and dividend increases were on the rise in Q1. The Consumer Price Index for March was higher than expected.

Why We Won't See A Recession In 2024

The jobs market is unlikely to lead to a recession in 2024. Wage growth continues to trend lower, while a spike in unemployment that would trigger a recession appears unlikely from here. The labour market is cooling, but is expected to begin to tighten in the coming years. The decline in wage growth has been caused by a lack of labour supply.

Weekly Report: what happened at SPDN last week (0401-0405)?

U.S. Economic Review And Outlook Q1 2024

Spring 2024 Snapshot Of The S&P 500's Market Cap

Microsoft has become the biggest company in the S&P 500 with a market cap of nearly $3.3 trillion as of 28 March 2024. The first quarter of 2024 has come and gone. The index clocked a new record high of 5,254.35. The Top 10 stocks in the index together accounted for 32.5% of its total valuation.