Barclays sees an uptick in recession fears

Barclays sees an uptick in recession fears. The firm says its "early recession" portfolio basket has seen its largest increase in months. Barclays says this suggests that recessionary fears are starting to creep back into the equity space. The bank's investment baskets include five stages of the business cycle.

SA Analyst Roundtable: When will the Fed cut rates?

SA Analyst Roundtable: When will the Fed cut rates? The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee meets this week. Lawrence Fuller, Michael Kramer, Logan Kane and James Kostohryz say the first rate cut will likely come in May 2025. The SA analysts say they don't expect the Fed to cut interest rates in 2024.

SPY: The Setup Looks Extremely Bearish

SPY has been on a strong run recently, but the outlook is very bearish right now. The S&P 500 is overvalued based on several valuation models. A weakening macroeconomic outlook also poses a severe headwind for SPY. SPY is facing a challenging economic environment and outlook.

J.P. Morgan's Kolanovic says the correction in stocks isn't finished yet

J.P. Morgan's Kolanovic says the correction in stocks isn't finished yet. He says the current slump in stocks and bonds isn't over. Quarterly reports are due this week. Inflation and geopolitical tensions are the main risks, he says. The 2-year US Treasury yield is consolidating at around 5%.

The S&P 500 pullback may not be totally over – RBC Capital Markets

The S&P 500 has retraced 5.6% from its all-time trading high of 5,264.85. RBC Capital Markets says a further 10% pullback is a strong possibility. The financial institution says the next major levels to watch are 4,931 and 4,845.

Weekly Report: what happened at SDS last week (0415-0419)?

SDS: Geopolitical Uncertainity Driving This Higher (Technical Analysis)

S&P 500 drops below 5,000 for first time in two months

What’s next for the S&P 500? SA analysts weigh in

What’s next for the S&P 500? SA analysts weigh in. The month of April has not been a friendly one for the benchmark S&p 500 (SP500) The index has now come down by roughly 5% in April and closed in negative territory for the fifth consecutive trading session.

SPY has seen net outflows of more than $10B during latest slide

Iran Attacks Israel - How Could Markets Be Impacted?

Roth MKM says the the longer-term S&P 500 uptrend is disrupted and more pain is to come

Roth MKM says the the longer-term S&P 500 uptrend is disrupted and more pain is to come. The financial institution says the benchmark average appears to have disrupted its long-term uptrend. The recent selloff has pushed the index to its lowest trading level since March 15.

Weekly Report: what happened at SDS last week (0408-0412)?

Sideways, With A Splash Of Uncertainty

The S&P 500 established its last record high on the last Thursday in March, right before the long Easter weekend. The market has bounced around in a mostly directionless manner since then. The Q1 earnings season is officially underway as of Friday. The recent decline in stock prices has taken a relatively short-lived effect.

Inverse ETFs to Play Now on Middle East Tension & Rising Rates?

Markets are broadening out but still have a long way to go - Barclays

Q1 2024 Earnings Preview: Will Reports Be Good Enough To Turn Markets Positive

Q1 earnings season kicks off with Q1 2024 S&P 500 EPS growth expected to come in at 3.2%. The second quarter got off to a rocky start as major indices closed lower last week. Buybacks and dividend increases were on the rise in Q1. The Consumer Price Index for March was higher than expected.

Anatomy Of A Recession Update: What's Different About This Cycle?

Jeffrey Schulze, Head of Economic and Market Strategy at ClearBridge Investments, discusses the updated ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard. He says immigration has increased the growth potential of the US economy more than usual. He also shares his views on US equities and the impact of the Magnificent Seven.

Why We Won't See A Recession In 2024

The jobs market is unlikely to lead to a recession in 2024. Wage growth continues to trend lower, while a spike in unemployment that would trigger a recession appears unlikely from here. The labour market is cooling, but is expected to begin to tighten in the coming years. The decline in wage growth has been caused by a lack of labour supply.

Chances of June rate cut narrow after hot CPI print

Chances of a Federal Reserve rate cut narrow after hot CPI print on Monday. The chances of a 25-basis point rate cut by the Fed's June meeting have dropped dramatically. The hotter-than-expected consumer inflation report suggests inflation may be stickier than expected. The broader S&P 500 slipped after the CPI report.