XMHQ

'No Rate Cut' Bear Scares S&P 500 Into Retreat

The S&P 500 fell again during the third week of April 2024. Main driving force behind the falling level of stock prices are slipping expectations for when and by how much the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates during 2024. The index has dropped 5.5% below its record peak closing value from 28 March 2024.

S&P 500 Earnings: So Far, The Pattern Is Typical, But Mega-Cap Earnings This Week Loom Large

So far, the typical earnings pattern for the S&P 500 is showing no signs of anything amiss. The mega-caps will simply trade at lower multiples than they have in the past few years. The hallmark of any bull or bear market is P/E expansion and contraction. The top 10-12 market cap names comprise roughly 24-25% of the s&p 500’s earnings weight. Mega-Cap Earnings this week are expected to be strong.

Weekly Report: what happened at XMHQ last week (0415-0419)?

Brad Simpson On Rising Iran-Israel Tensions And The Implications For Markets

Turbulence Signaled By S&P 500 Dividend Futures Arrives

Reflation Trade Is The New Bullish Narrative

Where's The Downside Tipping Point For U.S. Stocks?

S&P 500 Sees More Fallout From Delayed Rate Cut Expectations

The repercussions of delayed rate cuts continued to shake out in the U.S. Stock market in the past week. The S&P 500 dropped a little over 1.5% from where it ended the previous week to close at 5,123.41 on Friday, 12 April 2024. Bad news came in the form of diminished earning expectations for big banks. The CME Group's FedWatch Tool now projects the Fed will hold the Federal Funds Rate steady until 31 July 2024.