VOO

Bearish sentiment above historical averages amid rate cut uncertainty, earnings

Bearish sentiment above historical averages amid rate cut uncertainty, earnings report cards. 34% of individual investors think the market will trend down in the next six months. U.S. Stocks on Wednesday posted a four-day losing streak for the first time since the start of the year.

SPY: Resurgent Inflation, Soaring Yields, Geopolitical Turmoil - 1970s All Over Again?

U.S. Equity market has remained resilient despite resurgent inflation and soaring treasury yields. There is a risk of stagflation similar to the 1970s due to growing conflict in the Middle East. The equity market looks ripe for a correction due to high valuations and impending liquidity withdrawal.

VOO: 2024 Return Projection Based On Excess CAPE Yield

Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) has a downside risk of around 8% by the end of 2024. The projection is based on the Excess CAPE Yield (ECY) The ECY is near the lowest levels in several decades, indicating high valuation risks and low future return potential. Alternative ideas include VTI, which provides exposure to mid-cap and small-cap stocks.

A Market Plagued By Uncertainty

Market volatility and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are causing market volatility. China is aiming for a GDP growth of around 5% in 2024. The country has set ambitious growth targets and aims to become a hub of innovation and sustainable development. China's economy has been under pressure for the past year and a half but is expected to recover.

SPY: Sell Signals Caused By War Uncertainty (Technical Analysis Downgrade)

The market has put sell signals on our charts due to uncertainty in the Middle East. Both daily and weekly charts show sell signals, indicating an end to the bull move in the market. Tom Lloyd Investing Group has gone to cash in our 2024MP Model Portfolio. The market is waiting for war issues to de-escalate in the middle east.

I'm Thankful For This Pullback. Finally, It's Here

After reaching new highs, the S&P 500 has experienced a sharp pullback but remains significantly above its October 2023 lows. I've been preparing for a market pullback and am happy it has finally arrived. The SPX's short-term uptrend has been breached. I view a steeper pullback as a golden opportunity to reload exposure.

SPY: Ignore The Noise And Buy The Dip

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust has dropped due to hotter-than-expected inflation data. But the Q1 earnings season is expected to be strong. The market may be overvalued due to the potential long-term value of the AI revolution. I assign SPY a "Strong Buy" rating for the stock market.

Bank Discount Window Readiness After The Expiration Of The Bank Term Funding Program

The Federal Reserve is responsible for conducting monetary policy and maintaining the stability of the financial system. The Fed provided massive liquidity and implemented quantitative easing during the 2008 financial crisis and the pandemic. The recent Banking Crisis of 2023 highlighted the importance of banks being ready to borrow from the Discount Window in times of emergency.