TLT

Bond yields tick down as cash moves to safety following apparent Israel strike on Iran

Bond yields tick down as cash moves to safety following apparent Israel strike on Iran. The 10-year Treasury yield fell 5 basis points to 4.59%. Yields were lower across the curve in Germany, the U.K. And Japan. Reports that Israel retaliated against Iran with a missile strike.

Rate Cut Forecast Now Seen For September At Earliest

Rate Cut Forecast Now Seen For September At Earliest Apr. 19, 2024. September is now seen as the earliest date for policy easing. Fed funds futures on April 18 are estimating a roughly 71% probability that the Federal Reserve will reduce its current 5.25-5.50% target rate at the Sep. 18 meeting.

Belated March CPI Analysis

March CPI release convinced the Fed and the market that inflation has stalled. Boy Wirat says he thinks the great inflation bubble that started three years ago has long since popped. He says the main reason inflation is still high is because of the way shelter costs are calculated. Boy says housing price inflation has dropped significantly from its peak.

Small Group Of Hedge Funds Wields Dominance In US Treasury Market: 'A Concentration Of Vulnerability Has Built Up,' IMF Warns

The International Monetary Fund has raised concerns about hedge funds' increasing short positions in U.S. Treasury futures market. The IMF says a handful of highly leveraged funds now hold most of the short positions. Nearly half of all two-year Treasury futures positions are held by fewer than eight hedge funds. The concentration of short positions by hedge funds could pose systemic threats to the global economy.

Treasury yields resume climb, J.P. Morgan flags risk of US2Y consolidating at 5%

Treasury yields resume climb, J.P. Morgan flags risk of US2Y consolidating at 5% for the third time this year. New York Fed president says he doesn't feel an urgency to cut interest rates. The longer-end 30-year yield rose 4 basis points to 4.75% on Thursday. The 2-year US2y yield hit the 5% level on Wednesday.

Rate Volatility's Market Implications

What Is The U.S. National Debt's Risk To Investments?

Treasury Yields Head To 'Danger Zone': Analyst Forecasts Potential Spike To 5%, Disorderly Sell-Off For Markets

Yields on the 10-year Treasury note have ascended to a striking 4.70% this month, the highest mark since November 2023. The bond market strain is reflected in the performance of related instruments. Vanguard's Ales Koutny believes surpassing the 4.75% yield threshold could trigger a severe sell-off.