SHY

Rising Treasury Yields, Falling Oil Prices, And Hawkish Talk From The Fed

Home Market Outlook Economy Analysis Rising Treasury Yields, Falling Oil Prices, And Hawkish Talk From The Fed. The 10-year US Treasury yield rose to levels not seen since last November. Prices for West Texas Intermediate crude oil fell last week from recent highs despite tensions in the Middle East.

U.S. Economic Growth Up, Fed Rate Cuts Coming Later

Goldman Sachs sees core inflation trending lower in 2024, with key PCE report on deck

Goldman Sachs sees core inflation trending lower in 2024, with key PCE report on deck. The bank sees the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge moving down in 2024. The PCE inflation figures could be a significant catalyst for the stock market this week. The release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index will be released on Friday.

Yardeni says 'big rally' due for stocks if PCE inflation abates

U.S. Economy Yardeni says 'big rally' due for stocks if PCE inflation abates. The core PCe inflation reading for March is slated to be released Friday. The 10-year Treasury yield dragged the S&P 500 down 5.6% from its all-time high.

Weekly Forecast, April 19, 2024: Higher For 30 Years?

Home Investing Strategy Bonds Analysis Weekly Forecast, April 19, 2024: Higher for 30 years? The Treasury curve was up 9 basis points at 2 years and was up 12 basis points in 10 years over the last week. The current negative 2-year/10-year Treasury spread is the longest such streak since 1976. The 1-month forward rate in 30 years jumped 0.19% to 3.77%. Inverted Treasury yield curve is an important indicator of a future recession.

Weekly Report: what happened at SHY last week (0415-0419)?

Why Haven't We Whipped Inflation Yet?

Consumer Price Index rose at an annualized rate of 4.5% over the last three months. Inflation accelerated during the first quarter. By conventional measures, money looks tight. The money supply suggests money is tight. Yet inflation accelerates. Alexander Salter says inflation remains elevated above the Federal Reserve's 2% target.

Dollar Dominance And The Ghosts Of 1997