Emerging Markets - A Changed Asset Class?

Investors have traditionally considered emerging markets to be riskier than developed markets. Recent data point to significant changes in EM fixed income and equity markets. EMs remain resilient during recent DM hiking cycle. EM growth is not as dependent on China as it used to be. Investors may be getting more attuned to these shifts.

China's First Quarter 2024 GDP Beat Forecasts As Investment Picks Up

Weekly Report: what happened at YXI last week (0408-0412)?

Weekly Commentary: Trouble Brewing In Financial Asset Wonderland

Doug Noland: The Fed's misguided dovish pivot unleashed precariously loose market conditions. He says the market is in the midst of a bubble. He argues that Bubbles can inflate to unimaginable extremes - and then quadruple. Noland says the late-cycle fear of Bubbles is missing out on the reality.

Emerging Markets Activity Expands At Fastest Pace In 10 Months

Emerging Markets Activity Expands At Fastest Pace In 10 months. Incoming new business for emerging market goods and services rose in March at the quickest pace since last May. India continues to lead growth in both the manufacturing and service sectors. In March emerging markets growth accelerated at the fastest pace since May 2024.

Broaden Your Investment Horizons

It may be time to look beyond the U.S. For equity market performance. Looser monetary and fiscal policy could add momentum to what already appears to be a global cyclical recovery. Europe could cut its interest rates sooner than the United States. Europe's manufacturing activity could get a boost from stimulus.

Weekly Report: what happened at YXI last week (0401-0405)?

Just Transition And Emerging Markets: Weighing The Risks

The concept of a "just transition" is gaining ground among investors concerned about the social risks of moving from fossil fuels to alternative energy sources. Coal- or oil-exporting countries with undiversified economies may face significant transition risks. These risks are particularly high in emerging markets. The Just Transition Index measures countries across a range of key indicators.

Weekly Commentary: Global Ring Of Fire

Money Market Fund Assets surged $70.5 billion last week to a record $6.111 TN. Milton Friedman: The Great Depression was the height of the boom and the depth of the depression. Doug Noland says we are in the "terminal phase of history's greatest boom and bust.

Global Equity Valuations: Pockets Of Opportunity

Looking Under The Hood Of Recent Global Small- And Large-Cap Performance

Home Market Outlook Today's Market Looking Under The Hood Of Recent Global Small- And Large-Cap Performance by Mark Barnes, PhD & Indhu Raghavan, CFA. The relative performances of large-cap equities to small-caps in developed and emerging regions have diverged. Since early-2021, developed large-caps have outperformed their small-cap counterparts. In the emerging region, large- Caps steeply underperformed small- Caps.

Global Macro Outlook: Second Quarter 2024

Home Market Outlook Economy Analysis Global Macro Outlook: Second Quarter 2024. The global economic picture did not change significantly in the first quarter of 2024. We continue to believe a soft landing is the most likely outcome for major economies. The US economy continues to outperform, with growth above potential.

Global PMI Selling Price Inflation Accelerates To 10-Month High

Global PMI Selling Price Inflation Accelerates To 10-Month High. Average prices charged for goods and services rose globally at the fastest rate for ten months in March. The steepest rates of selling price inflation were recorded in the UK and the US. The main area of stubborn price pressure remains the service sector.

The Stock Market Is Partying Like It Is 2008

Home Market Outlook Today's Market The Stock Market Is Partying like It Is 2008 Desmond Lachman: The stock market is partying like it is 2008 even at a time of high interest rates. He says the market is ignoring the risk of heightened world trade tensions. The market is also ignoring the slow-motion train wreck in the commercial real estate sector.

Emerging Market Insights: Seeds Of Optimism

Weekly Report: what happened at YXI last week (0325-0329)?

China's Long Game

Investing in China is a long shot. The country's primary engine of growth for the past 30 years is in dire straits. High-tech manufacturing, with a deep focus on clean energy, is the key to China's future. China already leads the world in clean energy manufacturing.

China's Economy Is Not In A Great Decline But A Great Transition

Home Market Outlook Economy Analysis China's Economy Is Not In A Great Decline But A Great Transition. China's economy has reached an important crossroads. Key factors behind China's growth miracle are losing steam. The country's economy is in a necessary transition rather than in any long-term decline.

China: Industrial Profits Hit A 25-Month High Amid Signs Of Bottoming Out

China's industrial profits reached a 25-month high of 10.2% YoY YTD in the first two months of 2024. Industrial profits recovered to positive growth. More signs point to a recovery of industrials in 2024. If the recovery of manufacturing continues, it would contribute to reaching the 2024 growth target.

How Does Global 'Friend-Shoring' Affect Chinese Manufacturers?

Deglobalization is changing the way companies manufacture products. US imports from China have declined but China's exports to the rest of the world have increased. Mexico and Vietnam have been big beneficiaries of changes to supply chains. But Chinese companies remain deeply involved in global manufacturing. Chinese companies comprise half of Apple's suppliers in Vietnam.