U.S. Economic Growth Up, Fed Rate Cuts Coming Later

Expect Equity Market Corrections

Home Market Outlook Today's Market Expect Equity Market Corrections Apr. 23, 2024. Market corrections are a normal function of the equity market. The S&P 500 Index is now outperforming the Nasdaq 100 Index. Company outlooks will be an important indication of the year ahead.

Gold And Bitcoin Rallies Vs. U.S. Dollar Strength

The Next Fed Meeting And The Potential Impact On 2024 Equity Returns

Federal Reserve's upcoming FOMC meeting will have a significant impact on the equity market and stock prices. I don't expect an interest rate cut at the meeting and see a possibility for higher 10-year rates in the next 1-2 years. I see a gloomy return profile for the S&P 500 index in 2024.

Equity Income Investing Redux

High-yielding stocks are positioned to perform better over the next year. The top 20% of dividend-paying stocks in the S&P 500 Index have returned 13.5% in the 12 months through March. Over the past 30 years, the highest quintile of high-yield stocks have outperformed.

'No Rate Cut' Bear Scares S&P 500 Into Retreat

The S&P 500 fell again during the third week of April 2024. Main driving force behind the falling level of stock prices are slipping expectations for when and by how much the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates during 2024. The index has dropped 5.5% below its record peak closing value from 28 March 2024.

SPY: The Setup Looks Extremely Bearish

SPY has been on a strong run recently, but the outlook is very bearish right now. The S&P 500 is overvalued based on several valuation models. A weakening macroeconomic outlook also poses a severe headwind for SPY. SPY is facing a challenging economic environment and outlook.

The 'Mag Seven' Components Take Big Hits As Boring May Becoming Beautiful

Friday’s trade makes you wonder if the game is not over for the ‘Magnificent Seven’ The bulletproof case may be unwinding for Big Tech. The market seems to be getting comfortable with the Fed message of “higher for longer” Big Tech has become a parking lot for those seeking growth without economic sensitivity.

Global Growth Is Back As Fiscal Reckoning Looms In 2025

Jan van Eck says the global economy is now back on a growth trajectory, but there is a potential fiscal crisis to watch for in 2025. Global growth should make you rethink your commodity allocation, he says. Van Eck shares where he thinks investors should be allocated to the world economy.

Overlook Style Regimes At Your Peril

Home Investing Strategy Portfolio Strategy Overlook Style Regimes At Your Peril. Style regimes constitute one of investors’ largest risk factors. After 15 years of dominance of the growth style, investors want to see rotations between styles. Richard Drury: Style returns are powerful currents that investors may have overlooked.

Adapting To Economic Paradigm Shifts

Home Investing Strategy Portfolio Strategy Adapting To Economic Paradigm Shifts. Investors should look to real assets to diversify beyond the traditional 60/40 portfolio. The global economy may be shifting from a low inflationary paradigm driven by disinflationary forces to an inflationary one.

Equity Investing Is About The Way Things Are, Not The Way Things Should Be

Rob Isbitts discusses navigating market risk and why the easy money era is over. He says investors need to focus on both offense and defense in their portfolio strategy. Options can be a useful tool for retail investors to protect their portfolios. Investing Experts Podcast is a weekly podcast about equity investing.

Higher Bar For U.S. Earnings To Deliver

U.S. Stocks have slid from their highs as inflation proves sticky and geopolitical tensions rise. We eye whether corporate earnings can keep buoying sentiment. The bar is higher for tech firms to deliver on high earnings expectations. We see inflation and interest rates staying higher for longer. We still prefer artificial intelligence (AI) beneficiaries.

Bubble Up: The Everything, Everywhere Bubble

Home Market Outlook Economy Analysis Bubble Up: The Everything, Everywhere Bubble. Investors face a challenging landscape with fiscal dominance pushing bond yields and inflation. Rising interest rates aim to curb inflation but can hurt stock valuations and bond prices. We are in the euphoria phase of an AI bubble.

Weekly Report: what happened at SPYD last week (0415-0419)?

S&P 500: Capitulation? Week Starting 22nd April (Technical Analysis)

The S&P 500 has broken supports, suggesting a large correction targeting an undercut of 4818 is underway. The Israel/Iran conflict continued lower on Thursday and Friday. The drop has reached the 20-week MA for the S&p500. Is the correction a short-term capitulation or a bounce? This weekend's article will look at the probable paths for the remainder of the correction. Did the Israel attack on Iran make a capitulation bottom?

Powell Playing Games: 'Sell In May' Is Now 'Sell Before May'

The S&P 500 has fallen over 5% from its peak. The Fed strategically hints at certain actions to gauge market reactions and buy time. The Middle East situation introduces big uncertainty and a visible flight to safety. We could be looking at the beginning of a supercycle in commodities.

Hoisington Investment Management Q1 2024 Review And Outlook

Negative Net National Saving can no longer fully capture the harmful effect of debt on economic growth. The Federal Reserve is on the path to reducing inflation to the policy objective, says Hoisington Investment Management. The Fed's actions would not boost the rate of growth in real GDP.

This Week's GDP And PCE Reports May Bring More Pain To The Market

This week's GDP And PCE Reports May Bring More Pain To The Market. First quarter GDP and March PCE reports could lead to higher rates, a stronger dollar, and a decline in the stock market. Anecdotal evidence suggests that the estimates for GDP and PCE may be too low, indicating potential upside surprises.

The High Dividend Factors Leads Lately, But Risks Remain With SPYD