News
SPXT
84.61
+0.34%
0.29
M2 Money Grew At Annual 8% Compound Rate Since March 2020
Home Market Outlook Economy Analysis M2 Money Grew At Annual 8% Compound Rate Since March 2020 Mar. 28, 2024. Money seems to have gone into the financial sector rather than into the purchase of real goods and services. M2 money stock has been declining since spring 2022, but over the past four years it has grown at a compound 8.0% annually.
Seeking Alpha · 11h ago
All Or Nothing Comes Back
Yesterday was the first all-or-nothing day of the year. The S&P 500 registered an "All or Nothing Day" yesterday with a gain of 86 bps. The gain occurred on a very strong breadth with the market trading in the same direction. Recently, all- or-nothing days have been hard to come by. The last such day was three months ago.
Seeking Alpha · 18h ago
No Matter What The Fed Does, The Lack Of Bears Is Worrisome
Investor fixation on when the Fed will drop interest rates overlooks the fact that almost everyone is already bullish. The low short position of money managers in S&P 500 futures and the overwhelmingly bullish sentiment in the Investor Intelligence survey suggest that there are "too many" bulls in the market. This indicates that the market may be lower a year from now, even if the Fed lowers rates.
Seeking Alpha · 1d ago
Weakness In U.S. Investment Keeps The Focus On The Consumer
Weakness in U.S. Investment Keeps The Focus On The Consumer. Durable goods orders are a good lead indicator for broader capex spending in the US. Investment has lagged behind other parts of the economy. Consumer spending remains the focus for growth, but challenges are mounting.
Seeking Alpha · 2d ago
Negative Equity Risk Premium Estimates Persist For U.S. Equities
Home Market Outlook Today's Market Negative Equity Risk Premium Estimates Persist For U.S. Equities. The roaring US stock market has delivered red-hot gains in recent history but at the expense of future returns. The pushback is that artificial intelligence has changed the calculus. The case for incrementally adopting a defensive posture has a certain appeal.
Seeking Alpha · 3d ago
Technical Measures And Valuations - Does Any Of It Matter?
Technical measures and valuations all suggest the market is expensive, overbought, and exuberant. A recent BofA report shows that the increase in risk appetite has been the largest since March 2021. Valuations are a better measure of psychology in the short term, says Lance Roberts Investing Group Leader.
Seeking Alpha · 3d ago
Equities Ride The Magnificent Seven Wave - Time To Diversify?
The Magnificent Seven make up almost 30% of the S&P 500 market capitalization. Much of the rally in equities can be attributed to the performance of a handful of mega-cap stocks. Equal Weight Index futures enable investors to trade the market breadth, allowing for more diversification and less concentration. Seven Mega Cap Stocks Have Largely Been Driving the U.S. Stock Market.
Seeking Alpha · 3d ago
CEO Sentiment Is Slowly Improving In 2024
CEO Sentiment is Slowly Improving in 2024. CEO confidence seems to be rebounding after a volatile 2023. Bank of America survey says Wall Street's optimism is at its highest level since January 2022. Investor sentiment has also been improving as of late. LERI hits its lowest level in a year.
Seeking Alpha · 3d ago
The Bull Plateau Swayed By The Market Conundrum Amid Fed's Rate Cuts
The Fed's rate cuts and new monetary policy have influenced the S&P 500 Index and investor sentiment. The market reflects expectations of lower interest rates, but the Fed may still maintain a restrictive stance. The Fed's new policy tools include long-term POMOs in addition to short-term OMOs.
Seeking Alpha · 3d ago
If The Fed Plans To Cut Rates, Then Why Is The Dollar Firm?
Seeking Alpha · 3d ago
Weekly Report: what happened at SPXT last week (0318-0322)?
Weekly Report · 4d ago
S&P 500: An Eye On The Higher Timeframes - Week Starting 25th March (Technical Analysis)
The S&P 500 made a decisive break higher this week after several weeks of consolidation. The rally continues to hold the trend channel. A bullish month and quarter are likely to close near the highs. Next week will be the last week of Q1. The 5261 level is the only real resistance for the rally. Andrew McElroy looks at the higher timeframe view.
Seeking Alpha · 4d ago
U.S. Q1 Growth Nowcast Ticks Down, Suggests Expansion Is Slowing
U.S. Q1 Growth Nowcast Ticks Down, Suggests Expansion Is Slowing. The US economy remains on track to post a moderate growth rate in the upcoming first quarter GDP report. The PMI Composite Output Index eased to 52.2 in March, down slightly from February’s 52.5.
Seeking Alpha · 6d ago
News Of Further Solid Economic Growth From U.S. Flash PMI Tainted By Rise In Price Pressures
News Of Further Solid Economic Growth From U.S. Flash PMI Tainted By Rise In Price Pressures. Manufacturing and service sector output in March grew at fastest rate since May 2022. But inflationary pressures picked up again in March to its highest for nearly a year. Business confidence jumped to a 22-month high.
Seeking Alpha · 03/22 08:40
ProShares S&P 500 Ex-Technology ETF declares quarterly distribution of $0.2563
Seeking Alpha · 03/21 17:25
Small Changes In Trends For U.S. Teen Employment
Small Changes In Trends For U.S. Teen Employment. Younger teens are seeing erosion in their employment numbers. As a percentage of the available teen population, overall teen employment peaked at 60.4% in July-August 2023. The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year.
Seeking Alpha · 03/21 12:10
4 Years Later: The Portfolio Decision I'm Glad I Didn't Make
Seeking Alpha · 03/21 10:52
Quarterly S&P 500 Dividend Futures Rise, Signal Potential Turbulence Ahead
Home Market Outlook Today's Market Quarterly S&P 500 Dividend Futures Rise, Signal Potential Turbulence Ahead. The outlook for the index's dividends has continued to improve over the last six weeks. The market turbulence would most likely take place during the upcoming quarter of 2024-Q2.
Seeking Alpha · 03/20 13:30
Blackout Of Buybacks Threatens Bullish Run
Blackout of stock buybacks threatens to reduce one of the liquidity sources supporting the bullish run this year. Corporations are on track to set a new record for corporate buybacks this year, exceeding $1 trillion. The Federal Reserve has been injecting massive liquidity into the financial markets.
Seeking Alpha · 03/20 09:00
U.S. Recession Probability Nears A Double Top
The odds the U.S. Economy will see a recession start in the next 12 months are nearing a double top. The prospect for a recession has ticked up since bottoming in December 2023. The inversion of the Treasury curve has deepened since then. The Federal Reserve is expected to meet in March 2024 to discuss setting short-term interest rates.
Seeking Alpha · 03/19 21:30
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