News
SPTL
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Q1 2024 CIO Overview And Outlook
Home Market Outlook Today's Market Q1 2024 CIO Overview And Outlook. Growth of the US economy continues to slow, but recession is elusive. The outlook for the Fed seems to range from seven rate cuts to as few as three. Electoral politics had little bearing on stock market pricing in the first quarter of 2024.
Seeking Alpha · 1d ago
Gold Prices And The Fed
Gold prices broke through the $2,200 per ounce level to record an all-time high in terms of U.S. Dollars. The demand for gold, the amount of gold in the central bank reserves, and the value of the dollar all help drive the price of gold. In the new paradigm, when the Fed alters its direction, investors alter the trajectory of gold prices.
Seeking Alpha · 2d ago
Weekly Report: what happened at SPTL last week (0318-0322)?
Weekly Report · 3d ago
What The Bond Market Is Telling Us About The Future Path Of Rate Cuts
U.S. Federal Reserve is signaling it still sees three rate cuts this year. Greg Bonnell looks at the outlook for rates and the implications for the bond market. Scott Colbourne, Managing Director and Head of Active Fixed Income at TD Asset Management, weighs in. What The Bond Market Is Telling Us About The Future Path Of Rate Cuts.
Seeking Alpha · 5d ago
Rate Cuts Are Coming, But Timing Remains Uncertain
With a resilient economy and sticky inflation, expect policymakers to choose caution over speed. The healthy labor market and robust economic data have pushed back the expected start of the U.S. Rate cut cycle. Gradual disinflation has pushed the Federal Reserve to be more dovish.
Seeking Alpha · 5d ago
The Happiest Fed Ever
The median FOMC projection for 2024 real GDP growth is 2.1 percent, up substantially from the December estimate of 2.4 percent. Powell is a student of history, and the Fed chair seemed to be feeling good. Almost every major tightening cycle since 1970 has ended in a recession. Fed officials are increasingly comfortable with the end of the 2022-23 cycle.
Seeking Alpha · 5d ago
On My Mind: Fed Chair Powell - I Still Haven't Found What I'm Looking For
Federal Reserve's March policy meeting has generated vocal reactions. Sonal Desai says the market is trying to read too much into the Fed's new economic projections and Jerome Powell's words. He says Powell is a pragmatic Fed that has already been burnt by high inflation. Desai: Powell's comments were the most dovish signal from the Fed.
Seeking Alpha · 5d ago
March 2024 FOMC
The FOMC held its target rate range constant at 5.25-5.5%. Real GDP growth was revised up for all four projection years and significantly for 2024. The median federal funds rate held steady at 4.6%. The path to 2% is still uncertain.
Seeking Alpha · 5d ago
Quick Thoughts: The Fed - Steady As She Goes
The Federal Reserve decided to leave the Fed funds rate unchanged at its March 20 FOMC meeting. Despite the 2024 gross domestic product growth expectations rising to 2.1% from 1.4%, the unemployment rate still near historic 50-year lows. The markets responded well, with most major equity indexes up about 1% by day's end.
Seeking Alpha · 6d ago
Q&A: Fed Rate Cut Edition
Home Market Outlook Economy Analysis Q&A: Fed Rate Cut Edition. At Wednesday’s FOMC meeting the Fed stood by their estimate of 3 rate cuts in 2024. The Fed hasn’t moved to cut just yet because they’re still a little cautious about another flare-up in inflation.
Seeking Alpha · 6d ago
The Fed Is Signaling That It Really Wants To Cut Rates
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) chose to keep the benchmark policy rate at 5.25%-5.50%. The latest dot plot revealed the committee continues to expect 75 basis points of cuts this year. This is despite recent upside inflation surprises and upward revisions to GDP growth and inflation forecasts.
Seeking Alpha · 6d ago
Fed Keeps Interest Rates Unchanged, Sticks To Expectations For 3 Cuts In 2024
Fed Keeps Interest Rates Unchanged, Sticks To Expectations For 3 Cuts In 2024. U.S. Federal Reserve did as expected, keeping interest rates unchanged. Andrew Hencic, Senior Economist at TD Wealth, speaks with Greg Bonnell about the Fed’s monetary policy and the economy.
Seeking Alpha · 03/21 18:50
U.S. Fed Holds Policy Steady And Sticks With Three-Cut View For 2024
U.S. Fed Holds Policy Steady And Sticks With Three-Cut View For 2024. Federal Reserve left the Fed funds target rate range unchanged at 5.25-5.5%. In its updated economic projections, the Fed continues to forecast three rate cuts this year and is penciling in three cuts next year. With growth and inflation projections revised stronger, Fed believes interest rates will be higher over the longer term.
Seeking Alpha · 03/21 08:25
Fed Watch: The Waiting Game Continues
The Fed did what was widely expected and kept the Fed Funds target unchanged at the March FOMC meeting. The trading range remains at 5.25%-5.50%, still at a more than 20-year-high. The labor market and inflation data has provided the Fed with no urgency to ease monetary policy.
Seeking Alpha · 03/21 05:20
Bonds Still A Less Reliable Hedge
Seeking Alpha · 03/20 14:20
Is Treasury Demand Signaling That 'Bonds Are Back'?
Investors appear eager to buy government bonds, reflecting renewed interest in fixed income overall. Higher yields and the global central bank policy pivot are pointing to signs that bonds are back in investors' focus. Treasury auctions are vital to U.S. Government's borrowing via Treasury securities.
Seeking Alpha · 03/20 10:10
Fed Likely To Signal Patience When It Comes To Rate Cuts
Fed Likely To Signal Patience When It Comes To Rate Cuts. Derek Burleton, Deputy Chief Economist at TD Economics, speaks with MoneyTalk's Greg Bonnell about the economic challenges facing the Fed. The U.S. Economy is not screaming for rate cuts, says Burleton.
Seeking Alpha · 03/20 08:30
Junk Bond Default Surge Continues In 2024
Corporate bond defaults were up massively in 2023, especially for high-risk junk debt. The trend is continuing this year at a pace not seen since the 2008 global financial crisis. Companies selling low-rated junk debt are being hit the worst. High-interest rates and high inflation make it hard for companies to make good on their obligations.
Seeking Alpha · 03/19 18:00
Expectations For June Rate Cut Continue To Fade
Last week's sticky inflation news raises doubts about a June cut in interest rates by the Federal Reserve. Using Fed funds futures, a roughly 60% probability that the central bank will cut at its June 12 meeting. The probability for a rate cut rises to 77% in July, but some analysts are skeptical about the timing. The Fed is expected to leave rates unchanged at tomorrow's meeting.
Seeking Alpha · 03/19 17:10
Weekly Report: what happened at SPTL last week (0311-0315)?
Weekly Report · 03/18 09:51
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