News
SPMO
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No Matter What The Fed Does, The Lack Of Bears Is Worrisome
Investor fixation on when the Fed will drop interest rates overlooks the fact that almost everyone is already bullish. The low short position of money managers in S&P 500 futures and the overwhelmingly bullish sentiment in the Investor Intelligence survey suggest that there are "too many" bulls in the market. This indicates that the market may be lower a year from now, even if the Fed lowers rates.
Seeking Alpha · 3h ago
Weakness In U.S. Investment Keeps The Focus On The Consumer
Weakness in U.S. Investment Keeps The Focus On The Consumer. Durable goods orders are a good lead indicator for broader capex spending in the US. Investment has lagged behind other parts of the economy. Consumer spending remains the focus for growth, but challenges are mounting.
Seeking Alpha · 1d ago
Negative Equity Risk Premium Estimates Persist For U.S. Equities
Home Market Outlook Today's Market Negative Equity Risk Premium Estimates Persist For U.S. Equities. The roaring US stock market has delivered red-hot gains in recent history but at the expense of future returns. The pushback is that artificial intelligence has changed the calculus. The case for incrementally adopting a defensive posture has a certain appeal.
Seeking Alpha · 1d ago
Technical Measures And Valuations - Does Any Of It Matter?
Technical measures and valuations all suggest the market is expensive, overbought, and exuberant. A recent BofA report shows that the increase in risk appetite has been the largest since March 2021. Valuations are a better measure of psychology in the short term, says Lance Roberts Investing Group Leader.
Seeking Alpha · 1d ago
Equities Ride The Magnificent Seven Wave - Time To Diversify?
The Magnificent Seven make up almost 30% of the S&P 500 market capitalization. Much of the rally in equities can be attributed to the performance of a handful of mega-cap stocks. Equal Weight Index futures enable investors to trade the market breadth, allowing for more diversification and less concentration. Seven Mega Cap Stocks Have Largely Been Driving the U.S. Stock Market.
Seeking Alpha · 2d ago
CEO Sentiment Is Slowly Improving In 2024
CEO Sentiment is Slowly Improving in 2024. CEO confidence seems to be rebounding after a volatile 2023. Bank of America survey says Wall Street's optimism is at its highest level since January 2022. Investor sentiment has also been improving as of late. LERI hits its lowest level in a year.
Seeking Alpha · 2d ago
The Bull Plateau Swayed By The Market Conundrum Amid Fed's Rate Cuts
The Fed's rate cuts and new monetary policy have influenced the S&P 500 Index and investor sentiment. The market reflects expectations of lower interest rates, but the Fed may still maintain a restrictive stance. The Fed's new policy tools include long-term POMOs in addition to short-term OMOs.
Seeking Alpha · 2d ago
If The Fed Plans To Cut Rates, Then Why Is The Dollar Firm?
Seeking Alpha · 2d ago
Weekly Report: what happened at SPMO last week (0318-0322)?
Weekly Report · 2d ago
S&P 500: An Eye On The Higher Timeframes - Week Starting 25th March (Technical Analysis)
The S&P 500 made a decisive break higher this week after several weeks of consolidation. The rally continues to hold the trend channel. A bullish month and quarter are likely to close near the highs. Next week will be the last week of Q1. The 5261 level is the only real resistance for the rally. Andrew McElroy looks at the higher timeframe view.
Seeking Alpha · 3d ago
U.S. Q1 Growth Nowcast Ticks Down, Suggests Expansion Is Slowing
U.S. Q1 Growth Nowcast Ticks Down, Suggests Expansion Is Slowing. The US economy remains on track to post a moderate growth rate in the upcoming first quarter GDP report. The PMI Composite Output Index eased to 52.2 in March, down slightly from February’s 52.5.
Seeking Alpha · 5d ago
News Of Further Solid Economic Growth From U.S. Flash PMI Tainted By Rise In Price Pressures
News Of Further Solid Economic Growth From U.S. Flash PMI Tainted By Rise In Price Pressures. Manufacturing and service sector output in March grew at fastest rate since May 2022. But inflationary pressures picked up again in March to its highest for nearly a year. Business confidence jumped to a 22-month high.
Seeking Alpha · 6d ago
Small Changes In Trends For U.S. Teen Employment
Small Changes In Trends For U.S. Teen Employment. Younger teens are seeing erosion in their employment numbers. As a percentage of the available teen population, overall teen employment peaked at 60.4% in July-August 2023. The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year.
Seeking Alpha · 6d ago
4 Years Later: The Portfolio Decision I'm Glad I Didn't Make
Seeking Alpha · 6d ago
SPMO, NFLX, ORCL, AMAT: ETF Inflow Alert
NASDAQ · 03/20 16:18
Quarterly S&P 500 Dividend Futures Rise, Signal Potential Turbulence Ahead
Home Market Outlook Today's Market Quarterly S&P 500 Dividend Futures Rise, Signal Potential Turbulence Ahead. The outlook for the index's dividends has continued to improve over the last six weeks. The market turbulence would most likely take place during the upcoming quarter of 2024-Q2.
Seeking Alpha · 03/20 13:30
Blackout Of Buybacks Threatens Bullish Run
Blackout of stock buybacks threatens to reduce one of the liquidity sources supporting the bullish run this year. Corporations are on track to set a new record for corporate buybacks this year, exceeding $1 trillion. The Federal Reserve has been injecting massive liquidity into the financial markets.
Seeking Alpha · 03/20 09:00
Meta Bows Down to EU Regulations After Apple And Google, Cut Subscription Prices for Ad-Free Facebook and Instagram
Meta Platforms Inc has announced a reduction in the subscription fee for its ad-free Facebook and Instagram services in Europe. The monthly cost of the service will now be 5.99 euros for a single account. The company introduced the no-ads subscription service in Europe last November.
Benzinga · 03/19 17:27
Markets Reach A Critical Inflection Point Ahead Of Fed Meeting
Markets are at key inflection points across multiple asset classes ahead of the Fed meeting on Wednesday. The dollar, rates, commodities, and equities are all at critical technical levels. The 10-year Treasury is at a resistance level of 4.35%. A breakout in rates could result in a rise in the ten-year rate to around 4.5%.
Seeking Alpha · 03/19 16:44
Employment Market Is Weakening
Recent data on the US employment market is sending mixed signals. Continued claims for unemployment insurance have increased, indicating difficulty in finding new employment quickly. Small business hiring plans have deteriorated, suggesting a potential increase in unemployment. The Fed's hands may be tied to higher rates for longer, for now.
Seeking Alpha · 03/19 04:52
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