Equities Play A Waiting Game

Consumption continued to drive growth in the first quarter. The waiting game continues for the U.S. Federal Reserve and other major central banks to cut interest rates this year. 2024 is shaping up to be a “normal” expansionary year with healthy levels of economic growth and inflation.

Just A Correction, Or Is The Bull Market Over?

Upslope Capital's Q1 2024 Investor Letter

Q1 was a solid quarter for Upslope Capital Management's defensive strategy. While the Fund lagged long-only indexes, absolute performance was strong. The Fund remains well-protected against potential macro and/or geopolitical shocks. The company exited Intel early in Q1 and added two "chocolate" stocks.

Expect Equity Market Corrections

Home Market Outlook Today's Market Expect Equity Market Corrections Apr. 23, 2024. Market corrections are a normal function of the equity market. The S&P 500 Index is now outperforming the Nasdaq 100 Index. Company outlooks will be an important indication of the year ahead.

'No Rate Cut' Bear Scares S&P 500 Into Retreat

The S&P 500 fell again during the third week of April 2024. Main driving force behind the falling level of stock prices are slipping expectations for when and by how much the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates during 2024. The index has dropped 5.5% below its record peak closing value from 28 March 2024.

S&P 500 Earnings: So Far, The Pattern Is Typical, But Mega-Cap Earnings This Week Loom Large

So far, the typical earnings pattern for the S&P 500 is showing no signs of anything amiss. The mega-caps will simply trade at lower multiples than they have in the past few years. The hallmark of any bull or bear market is P/E expansion and contraction. The top 10-12 market cap names comprise roughly 24-25% of the s&p 500’s earnings weight. Mega-Cap Earnings this week are expected to be strong.

Weekly Report: what happened at MDY last week (0415-0419)?

A Hawkish Pivot

U.S. Equity markets posted their worst week in a year while benchmark interest rates surged to five-month highs. The S&P 500 declined another 3.1% this week. High-flying technology stocks were particularly hard hit. Earnings season is off to a shaky start for office REITs.

MDY: A Bet On The Return Of Mid-Caps

Brad Simpson On Rising Iran-Israel Tensions And The Implications For Markets

REIT Earnings Preview: Delay And Pray

Looking Back At Equity Factors In Q1 2024 With WisdomTree

Turbulence Signaled By S&P 500 Dividend Futures Arrives

Reflation Trade Is The New Bullish Narrative

Where's The Downside Tipping Point For U.S. Stocks?

S&P 500 Sees More Fallout From Delayed Rate Cut Expectations

The repercussions of delayed rate cuts continued to shake out in the U.S. Stock market in the past week. The S&P 500 dropped a little over 1.5% from where it ended the previous week to close at 5,123.41 on Friday, 12 April 2024. Bad news came in the form of diminished earning expectations for big banks. The CME Group's FedWatch Tool now projects the Fed will hold the Federal Funds Rate steady until 31 July 2024.

Q1 '24 S&P 500 Earnings (And Johnson & Johnson): Expecting Another Normal Earnings Season

The "expected" Q1 '24 S&P 500 EPS growth has fallen to +2.7% as of Friday, April 12th. The “expected” quarterly growth rates follow a typical pattern. Only 29 companies have reported their Q1 ’24 earnings so far.

Weekly Report: what happened at MDY last week (0408-0412)?

Anatomy Of A Recession Update: What's Different About This Cycle?

Jeffrey Schulze, Head of Economic and Market Strategy at ClearBridge Investments, discusses the updated ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard. He says immigration has increased the growth potential of the US economy more than usual. He also shares his views on US equities and the impact of the Magnificent Seven.

Brad Simpson On 'Vibecession' And What It's Telling Us About Market Sentiment